Result
1:2
29/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga Women - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.28 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (216/301) | 85% (481/566) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 2.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (216/301) | 85% (481/566) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (24/51) | 49% (23/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (52/91) | 64% (49/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 29% (7/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.10 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 84% (16/19) | 83% (20/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.18 | 1.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Douma W. ⚽, Steiner M. (A),
- 10', 0 - 2, Grimm J. ⚽,
- 15', 1 - 2, Kolb L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Kolb L. ↓, Bienz A. ↑,
- 63', Axtmann A. 🟨,
- 63', Gloning L. ↓, Harsch F. ↑,
- 64', Schneider M. ↓, Vobian S. ↑,
- 64', Nachtigall S. ↓, Birkholz L. E. ↑,
- 76', Janssens J. ↓, Hahn C. ↑,
- 76', Van Dijk N. ↓, Luyet N. ↑,
- 76', Folmli S. ↓, Scherer N. ↑,
- 76', Szenk N. ↓, Stegemann G. ↑,
- 88', Kaut L. ↓, Rankin J. ↑,
- 90+1', Grimm J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Freiburg
31.4% | Draw
24.3% | TSG Hoffenheim
44.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Freiburg's performance.TSG Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and TSG Hoffenheim might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Freiburg that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSG Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TSG Hoffenheim could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Freiburg - TSG Hoffenheim Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.92 ↓
(3.8) |
3.78 ↓
(4.01) |
2.07 ↑
(1.77) |
8.9%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 2.
- Recent form of Freiburg has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Hoffenheim has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Hoffenheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Hoffenheim is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 29:44. (average 1.5:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 1.3:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against TSG Hoffenheim?
Freiburg has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has TSG Hoffenheim won against Freiburg?
TSG Hoffenheim has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - TSG Hoffenheim were as follows:
06.11.2025
TSG Hoffenheim
-
Freiburg
2:1
02.02.2025
Freiburg
-
TSG Hoffenheim
0:3
16.09.2024
TSG Hoffenheim
-
Freiburg
2:3
22.03.2024
Freiburg
-
TSG Hoffenheim
2:4
04.11.2023
TSG Hoffenheim
-
Freiburg
2:3
Latest results of Freiburg
Latest results of TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 21 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 81:6 | 75 | 61 |
| 2 | Wolfsburg W | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 61:30 | 31 | 48 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 54:37 | 17 | 42 |
| 4 | Hoffenheim W | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 39:27 | 12 | 38 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 22 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 34:31 | 3 | 37 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen W | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 31:29 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | Freiburg W | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 35:36 | -1 | 30 |
| 8 | Koln W | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 26:30 | -4 | 28 |
| 9 | Union Berlin W | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 27 |
| 10 | RB Leipzig W | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 35:41 | -6 | 26 |
| 11 | 1.FC Nurnberg W | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 28:53 | -25 | 19 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV W | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 24:53 | -29 | 15 |
| 13 | SGS Essen W | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 17:52 | -35 | 12 |
| 14 | Jena W | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 18:53 | -35 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women
