RB Leipzig vs TSG Hoffenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
14/12/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga Women - Round 13
  • Referee: Heidenreich A. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaDAZN
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.571.72
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
67
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
81% (354/436)83% (368/445)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.571.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.791.46
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
913
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
1633
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
87
Passes
81% (354/436)83% (368/445)
Long passes
45% (24/53)46% (24/52)
Passes in final third
64% (53/83)65% (73/112)
Crosses
7% (1/14)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.522.18
Throw-ins
3022
Fouls
78
Tackles
78% (14/18)76% (13/17)
Duels won
3634
Clearances
1616
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.461.79
Goals prevented
-1.54-0.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Ampoorter V. , Cerci S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 56', 1 - 1, Asgeirsdottir E. , Chmielinski G. (A),
  • 62', 1 - 2, Gloning L. , Ampoorter V. (A),
  • 64', 2 - 2, Chmielinski G. ,
  • 66', Janssens J. 🟨,
  • 69', Gloning L. , Steiner M. ,
  • 75', Chmielinski G. , Oteng P. ,
  • 80', 2 - 3, Cerci S. , Janssens J. (A),
  • 81', Kaut L. , Hahn C. ,
  • 88', Joly L. , Kadowaki M. ,
  • 88', Boboy D. , Spitzner K. ,
  • 90', Ampoorter V. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Ampoorter V. , Grimm J. ,

Chances of winning


RB Leipzig
31.3%
Draw
24.2%
TSG Hoffenheim
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.3% 24.9% 48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27% 24.3% 47.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • TSG Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSG Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • RB Leipzig - TSG Hoffenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.93
    (3.46)
    3.8
    (3.66)
    2.06
    (1.86)
    8.9%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - TSG Hoffenheim?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - RB Leipzig (1.69) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 6).
    • RB Leipzig is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Hoffenheim's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Hoffenheim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Hoffenheim has had a series of home games.
    • Hoffenheim might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.8:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, RB Leipzig won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - TSG Hoffenheim were as follows:
    13.04.2025 TSG Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig 5:2
    03.11.2024 RB Leipzig - TSG Hoffenheim 3:1
    10.05.2024 RB Leipzig - TSG Hoffenheim 3:0
    17.12.2023 TSG Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig 2:1
    26.11.2023 TSG Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig 3:0
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    Latest results of TSG Hoffenheim
    German Bundesliga Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich W21201081:67561
    2Wolfsburg W21153361:303148
    3Eintracht Frankfurt W22133654:371742
    4Hoffenheim W22122839:271238
    5Bayer Leverkusen W22121934:31337
    6Werder Bremen W20105531:29235
    7Freiburg W22931035:36-130
    8Koln W22841026:30-428
    9Union Berlin W2276937:42-527
    10RB Leipzig W22751035:41-626
    111.FC Nurnberg W22541328:53-2519
    12Hamburger SV W22361324:53-2915
    13SGS Essen W22261417:52-3512
    14Jena W22251518:53-3511

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women