TSG Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
07/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga Women - Round 12
  • Referee: Scholz L. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sky Go Germany
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.621.31
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1820
Shots on target
97
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
18
Passes
82% (352/427)83% (419/503)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.621.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.691.35
Total shots
1820
Shots on target
97
Shots off target
59
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
1212
Shots outside the Box
68
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
18
Touches in opposition box
2531
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
117
Passes
82% (352/427)83% (419/503)
Long passes
49% (20/41)55% (28/51)
Passes in final third
60% (42/70)70% (108/154)
Crosses
53% (8/15)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.361.42
Throw-ins
1720
Fouls
711
Tackles
56% (10/18)85% (17/20)
Duels won
5048
Clearances
3216
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
75
xGOT faced
1.351.69
Goals prevented
1.35-1.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Steiner M. ,
  • 40', 2 - 0, Kossler M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', 3 - 0, Cerci S. , Gloning L. (A),
  • 58', Halverkamps A. , Heikkinen I. ,
  • 72', Orschmann K. , Georgieva M. ,
  • 72', Weidauer S. , Moraitou A. ,
  • 72', Orschmann D. , Bauereisen N. ,
  • 72', Kossler M. , Hahn C. ,
  • 79', Gloning L. , Grabowska D. ,
  • 80', Cerci S. , Grimm J. ,
  • 84', Steiner M. , Sinka N. ,
  • 84', Janssens J. , Bitzer N. ,

Chances of winning


TSG Hoffenheim
60.2%
Draw
21.8%
Union Berlin
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 22.9% 21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7% 20.9% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • TSG Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for TSG Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with TSG Hoffenheim that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Union Berlin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • TSG Hoffenheim - Union Berlin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.67)
    4.2
    (4.06)
    5.09
    (4.31)
    9.2%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for TSG Hoffenheim - Union Berlin?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): TSG Hoffenheim will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 11).
    • Hoffenheim has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Union Berlin has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Hoffenheim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Hoffenheim is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of TSG Hoffenheim
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    German Bundesliga Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich W21201081:67561
    2Wolfsburg W21153361:303148
    3Eintracht Frankfurt W22133654:371742
    4Hoffenheim W22122839:271238
    5Bayer Leverkusen W22121934:31337
    6Werder Bremen W20105531:29235
    7Freiburg W22931035:36-130
    8Koln W22841026:30-428
    9Union Berlin W2276937:42-527
    10RB Leipzig W22751035:41-626
    111.FC Nurnberg W22541328:53-2519
    12Hamburger SV W22361324:53-2915
    13SGS Essen W22261417:52-3512
    14Jena W22251518:53-3511

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