Wolfsburg vs TSG Hoffenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

AOK Stadion (Wolfsburg).

Bundesliga Women - Round 8
Referee: Schwermer M. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	W-sport
Asia	W-Sport Asia
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	W-sport
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Molotov TV, W-Sport
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Luxembourg	W-Sport
Malaysia	Canal+
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Viaplay, W-Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	W-Sport
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	W-Sport
Usa	DAZN USA
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.73	1.86
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
14	11
Shots on target
6	8
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
6	2
Passes
81% (347/430)	74% (259/349)
Yellow Cards
0	3
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73	1.86
xG on target (xGOT)
1.52	1.83
Total shots
14	11
Shots on target
6	8
Shots off target
5	1
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
8	11
Shots outside the Box
6	0
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
22	17
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
9	9
Passes
81% (347/430)	74% (259/349)
Long passes
63% (48/76)	48% (28/58)
Passes in final third
67% (95/142)	60% (38/63)
Crosses
7% (2/29)	63% (5/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.62	0.58
Throw-ins
30	26
Fouls
9	9
Tackles
75% (9/12)	75% (12/16)
Duels won
25	37
Clearances
16	37
Interceptions
10	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
7	4
xGOT faced
1.83	1.52
Goals prevented
0.83	-0.48

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Natter L. ↓, Steiner M. ↑,
38', Janssens J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Kielland J. ↓, Beerensteyn L. ↑,
54', Kaut L. 🟨,
61', Zicai C. ↓, Bussy K. ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Beerensteyn L. ⚽, Bussy K. (A),
77', Peddemors E. ↓, Lattwein L. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Ampoorter V. (Pen),
85', Ampoorter V. ↓, Grimm J. ↑,
87', Minge J. ↓, Vallotto S. ↑,
90', Kaut L. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 1, Vallotto S. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Wolfsburg
69.7%

Draw
17.5%

TSG Hoffenheim
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

17.3%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.8%

16.5%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

TSG Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TSG Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Wolfsburg - TSG Hoffenheim Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.3)	5.25 ↓ (5.31)	7.21 ↓ (7.53)	8.7% (8.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 3.
Wolfsburg is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Hoffenheim has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Wolfsburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Wolfsburg is the obvious favorite.
We predict that Wolfsburg will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 15 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 48:16. (average 2.4:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 25:6. (average 2.8:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Wolfsburg won against TSG Hoffenheim?

Wolfsburg has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has TSG Hoffenheim won against Wolfsburg?

TSG Hoffenheim has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - TSG Hoffenheim were as follows:

28.04.2025 Wolfsburg - TSG Hoffenheim 2:1

12.02.2025 TSG Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg 1:0

09.11.2024 TSG Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg 0:3

15.03.2024 TSG Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg 2:1

05.03.2024 TSG Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg 0:3

Latest results of Wolfsburg

19.10.2025 Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Wolfsburg 1:5 ✺

15.10.2025 Vålerenga - Wolfsburg 1:2 ✺

11.10.2025 Wolfsburg - Bayern Munich 1:3 ✺

08.10.2025 Wolfsburg - Paris Saint-Germain 4:0 ✺

04.10.2025 SGS Essen - Wolfsburg 0:8 ✺

Latest results of TSG Hoffenheim

17.10.2025 SGS Essen - TSG Hoffenheim 0:1 ✺

12.10.2025 TSG Hoffenheim - Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0:2 ✺

06.10.2025 Hamburger SV - TSG Hoffenheim 1:4 ✺

24.09.2025 TSG Hoffenheim - Nürnberg 1:1 ✺

21.09.2025 Werder Bremen - TSG Hoffenheim 2:1 ✺

German Bundesliga Women Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich W	18	17	1	0	71:6	65	52
2	Wolfsburg W	17	12	2	3	53:26	27	38
3	Eintracht Frankfurt W	18	10	3	5	44:31	13	33
4	Hoffenheim W	18	10	2	6	33:23	10	32
5	Bayer Leverkusen W	19	10	1	8	29:28	1	31
6	Werder Bremen W	17	8	5	4	24:22	2	29
7	Freiburg W	19	8	3	8	32:31	1	27
8	Koln W	19	7	4	8	23:24	-1	25
9	Union Berlin W	19	6	4	9	28:36	-8	22
10	RB Leipzig W	19	6	3	10	30:38	-8	21
11	1.FC Nurnberg W	19	5	4	10	26:47	-21	19
12	Hamburger SV W	19	3	5	11	21:45	-24	14
13	SGS Essen W	19	2	6	11	16:41	-25	12
14	Jena W	18	2	3	13	16:48	-32	9

      Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women