Tung-Lin Wu vs Rio Noguchi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
06/01/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nonthaburi, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
75
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
74%68%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (46/66)69% (36/52)
2nd Serve Points Won
35% (8/23)63% (15/24)
Break Points Saved
67% (8/12)60% (3/5)
1st Return Points Won
31% (16/52)30% (20/66)
2nd Return Points Won
38% (9/24)65% (15/23)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)33% (4/12)
Winners
3631
Unforced Errors
4425
Net Points Won
76% (16/21)40% (2/5)
Service Points Won
61% (54/89)67% (51/76)
Return Points Won
33% (25/76)39% (35/89)
Total Points Won
48% (79/165)52% (86/165)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
71% (10/14)85% (11/13)
Return Games Won
15% (2/13)29% (4/14)
Total Games Won
44% (12/27)56% (15/27)

Chances of winning


Tung-Lin Wu
55.1%
Rio Noguchi
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.7% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6% 36.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tung-Lin Wu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tung-Lin Wu's form might have worsened.
  • Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Noguchi's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tung-Lin Wu than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tung-Lin Wu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rio Noguchi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tung-Lin Wu - Rio Noguchi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.5)

    2.05
    (2.42)
    8.3%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Wu is ranked ATP: 379. Noguchi is ranked ATP: 227.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Noguchi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Wu won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tung-Lin Wu - Rio Noguchi were as follows:
    28.10.2024 Rio Noguchi - Tung-Lin Wu 0:2
    13.10.2023 Rio Noguchi - Tung-Lin Wu 2:1
    17.07.2023 Rio Noguchi - Tung-Lin Wu 0:2
    07.11.2022 Tung-Lin Wu - Rio Noguchi 2:0
    Latest results of Tung-Lin Wu
    Latest results of Rio Noguchi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kolar Z. (1)Weber A. (LL)2 : 0
    2Samrej K. (WC)Shiraishi H. (Q)2 : 0
    3Jones M.Colson T. (Q)0 : 2
    4Matsuoka H. (Q)Sun F. (8)1 : 2
    5Pacheco Mendez R. (4)Bertrand R.1 : 2
    6Fomin S.Tokuda R.2 : 1
    7Shimizu Y.Ichikawa T. (Q)2 : 1
    8Gengel M.Martin A. (7)2 : 0
    9Uchida K. (5)Denolly C.2 : 1
    10Matsuda K. (Q)Sharipov M.0 : 2
    11Sornlaksup P. (WC)Wu Tung-Lin0 : 2
    12Shin S.Noguchi R. (3)0 : 2
    13Schwaerzler J. J. (6)Moriya H. (Q)2 : 1
    14Chung H.Bax F.1 : 2
    15Trongcharoenchaikul W. (WC)Santillan A.1 : 2
    16Dellavedova M.Giustino L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Kolar Z. (1)Samrej K.2 : 0
    2Colson T.Sun F. (8)2 : 1
    3Bertrand R.Fomin S.0 : 2
    4Shimizu Y.Gengel M.1 : 2
    5Uchida K. (5)Sharipov M.0 : 2
    6Wu Tung-LinNoguchi R. (3)1 : 2
    7Schwaerzler J. J. (6)Bax F.2 : 1
    8Santillan A.Giustino L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Kolar Z. (1)Colson T.2 : 1
    2Fomin S.Gengel M.0 : 2
    3Sharipov M.Noguchi R. (3)0 : 2
    4Schwaerzler J. J. (WO.) (6)Giustino L. (2)

    Semi-finals
    1Kolar Z. (1)Gengel M.0 : 2
    2Noguchi R. (3)Schwaerzler J. J. (6)2 : 0

    Final
    1Gengel M.Noguchi R. (3)0 : 2