Mali vs Tunisia, Africa Cup of Nations – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Africa Cup of Nations
Result
2:1 penalties
03/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Africa Cup of Nations - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAfroSport TV Africa, CANAL+ CAN, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport PSL
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilBandSports
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
cote-d-ivoireCote-d-ivoireNCI, RTI 3
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceERT Sports 3
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalySportitalia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 3
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
maliMaliORTM
mauritiusMauritiusMBC 11
moroccoMoroccoAl Aoula, Arryadia TNT
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayVG+
portugalPortugalSport TV7
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport PSL
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeyExxen
united-kingdomUnited-kingdom4Seven, Channel 4
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
zambiaZambiaZNBC 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.120.93
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
411
Passes
59% (140/239)87% (548/628)
Yellow Cards
46
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.120.93
xG on target (xGOT)
0.841.20
Total shots
813
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
411
Touches in opposition box
1023
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
2912
Passes
59% (140/239)87% (548/628)
Long passes
27% (19/70)56% (23/41)
Passes in final third
43% (27/63)78% (145/186)
Crosses
12% (2/17)11% (4/36)
Expected assists (xA)
0.161.29
Throw-ins
2227
Fouls
1229
Tackles
75% (18/24)54% (7/13)
Duels won
7645
Clearances
3620
Interceptions
174
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
1.200.84
Goals prevented
0.20-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Doumbia M. 🟨,
  • 7', Bronn D. 🟨,
  • 12', Bronn D. ↓, Meriah Y. ↑,
  • 17', Bissouma Y. 🟨,
  • 23', Belhadj M. 🟨,
  • 26', Coulibaly W. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Belhadj M. ↓, Achouri E. ↑,
  • 57', Doumbia M. ↓, Nene D. ↑,
  • 60', Mejbri H. 🟨,
  • 70', Gharbi I. ↓, Saad E. ↑,
  • 70', Mastouri H. ↓, Chaouat F. ↑,
  • 85', Mejbri H. ↓, Ben Romdhane M. ↑,
  • 85', Chaouat F. 🟨,
  • 88', 0 - 1, Chaouat F. ⚽, Saad E. (A),
  • 90+2', Ben Romdhane M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Sangare M. ↓, Toure E. B. ↑,
  • 90+2', Dante A. ↓, Diakite G. ↑,
  • 90+6', 1 - 1, Sinayoko L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 103', Nene D. 🟨,
  • 109', Meriah Y. 🟨,
  • 110', Dieng A. ↓, Sissoko I. ↑,
  • 113', Valery Y. ↓, Ben Ali M. ↑,
  • 117', Coulibaly L. ↓, Traore H. ↑,
  • 118', Sissoko I. 🟨,
  • Penalties (3 - 2)
  • 1, Meriah Y. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Bissouma Y. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Abdi A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Sinayoko L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Saad E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Nene D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Achouri E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Diakite G. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Ben Romdhane M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Toure E. B. (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mali
36.8%		Draw
35.6%		Tunisia
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 31.3% 34.6%

Mali - Tunisia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.6 ↓
(2.79)		 2.67 ↓
(3.03)		 3.43 ↑
(2.74)		 5.1%
(5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Mali - Tunisia?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Mali will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). Tunisia will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 65.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45.7% – 84.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Mali (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mali (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 133.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mali won 1.
    • Tunisia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Mali may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Mali: Diarra G. (Ankle Injury) Haidara A. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Mali: Niakate S. (Injury) Traore H. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tunisia: Achouri E. (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Mali won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mali - Tunisia were as follows:
    20.01.2024 Tunisia - Mali 1:1
    Latest results of Mali
    29.12.2025 Comoros - Mali 0:0 ✺
    26.12.2025 Morocco - Mali 1:1 ✺
    22.12.2025 Mali - Zambia 1:1 ✺
    18.11.2025 Jordan - Mali 0:0 ✺
    12.10.2025 Mali - Madagascar 4:1 ✺
    Latest results of Tunisia
    30.12.2025 Tanzania - Tunisia 1:1 ✺
    27.12.2025 Nigeria - Tunisia 3:2 ✺
    23.12.2025 Tunisia - Uganda 3:1 ✺
    07.12.2025 Qatar - Tunisia 0:3 ✺
    04.12.2025 Palestine - Tunisia 2:2 ✺
    Draw
    Final tournament

    1/8-finals
    1Mali (A2)Tunisia (C2)2 : 1
    2Senegal (D1)Sudan (E3)3 : 1
    3Egypt (B1)Benin (D3)3 : 1
    4Ivory Coast (F1)Burkina Faso (E2)3 : 0
    5Algeria (E1)D.R. Congo (D2)1 : 0
    6Nigeria (C1)Mozambique (F3)4 : 0
    7South Africa (B2)Cameroon (F2)1 : 2
    8Morocco (A1)Tanzania (C3)1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Mali (A2)Senegal (D1)0 : 1
    2Egypt (B1)Ivory Coast (F1)3 : 2
    3Algeria (E1)Nigeria (C1)0 : 2
    4Cameroon (F2)Morocco (A1)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Senegal (D1)Egypt (B1)1 : 0
    2Nigeria (C1)Morocco (A1)0 : 1

    Final
    1Senegal (D1)Morocco (A1)1 : 0

    3rd place
    2Egypt (B1)Nigeria (C1)0 : 1
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