Turkey vs Georgia, European Championship Water Polo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
11:14
21/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • European Championship

Chances of winning


Turkey
17.6%
Draw
11.8%
Georgia
70.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24% 12.1% 63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1% 12.2% 63.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Turkey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Turkey's form might have worsened.
  • Georgia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Georgia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turkey than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Turkey, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Georgia than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Georgia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Turkey - Georgia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.18
    (3.81)
    7.69
    (7.54)
    1.29
    (1.43)
    10%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 28.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • In this match, Georgia is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Turkey won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:39. (average 9:13).
    Latest results of Turkey
    19.01.2026 Croatia - Turkey 22:9
    17.01.2026 Greece - Turkey 20:8
    15.01.2026 Turkey - Slovakia 17:16
    13.01.2026 Romania - Turkey 20:19
    11.01.2026 Turkey - Italy 8:19
    Latest results of Georgia
    19.01.2026 Georgia - Romania 10:15
    17.01.2026 Georgia - Italy 14:16
    15.01.2026 Slovenia - Georgia 11:22
    13.01.2026 Georgia - Croatia 7:18
    11.01.2026 Greece - Georgia 20:6
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SerbiaItaly17 : 13
    2GreeceHungary12 : 15

    Final
    1SerbiaHungary10 : 7

    3rd place
    2ItalyGreece5 : 12