Benfica vs Twente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Women
Result
1:1
12/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League Women - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.961.20
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
48
Passes
79% (240/305)86% (392/456)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.961.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.091.64
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
2428
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
79% (240/305)86% (392/456)
Long passes
58% (15/26)52% (15/29)
Passes in final third
57% (39/68)73% (74/101)
Crosses
35% (6/17)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.100.86
Throw-ins
2514
Fouls
1112
Tackles
55% (12/22)59% (17/29)
Duels won
4469
Clearances
2214
Interceptions
1113
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.641.09
Goals prevented
0.640.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 3', Groenewegen L. 🟨,
  • 33', van Ginkel D. 🟨,
  • 33', Sousa Alves L. C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Hulst C. ↓, Ivens R. ↑,
  • 47', Davidson C. 🟨,
  • 61', Moller C. ↓, Raysla N. ↑,
  • 61', Gasper A. 🟨,
  • 62', 1 - 0, Martin-Prieto Gutierrez C. ⚽, Sousa Alves L. C. (A),
  • 69', 1 - 1, Groenewegen L. ⚽,
  • 73', Davidson C. ↓, Martins L. ↑,
  • 74', Gasper A. ↓, Tristao C. ↑,
  • 78', Cameirao B. ↓, Boeckmann C. ↑,
  • 78', Amado C. ↓, Engesvik R. ↑,
  • 87', Groenewegen L. ↓, van der Vegt I. ↑,

Chances of winning


Benfica
42.9%		Draw
24.1%		Twente
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.3% 27.8% 24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 27.6% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Twente's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Twente, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Benfica - Twente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.22 ↑
    (2)    		 3.91 ↑
    (3.4)    		 2.81 ↓
    (3.8)    		 6.2%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Benfica - Twente?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Twente will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 35.2% – 92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Benfica (votes: 2 - 50%). Twente (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Twente (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Benfica (votes: 2 - 40%). Twente (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Benfica is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Twente has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Benfica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2.5:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 3.5:0).
    Latest results of Benfica
    08.11.2025 Torreense - Benfica 0:2
    02.11.2025 Benfica - Marítimo 5:0
    19.10.2025 Marítimo - Benfica 1:5
    16.10.2025 Benfica - Arsenal LFC 0:2 ✺
    12.10.2025 Valadares Gaia - Benfica 1:4
    Latest results of Twente
    02.11.2025 ADO Den Haag - Twente 0:5
    15.10.2025 Leuven - Twente 2:1 ✺
    12.10.2025 Twente - Utrecht 1:1
    08.10.2025 Twente - Chelsea 1:1 ✺
    04.10.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Twente 1:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. Madrid W (11)Manchester Utd W (6)0 : 2, 0 : 3
    2ByeBayern Munich W (4)
    3Paris FC W (10)Real Madrid W (7)0 : 2, 2 : 3
    4ByeBarcelona W (1)
    5Leuven W (12)Arsenal W (5)1 : 3, 0 : 4
    6ByeChelsea W (3)
    7Wolfsburg W (9)Juventus W (8)2 : 0, 2 : 2
    8ByeLyon W (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1Manchester Utd W (6)Bayern Munich W (4)
    2Real Madrid W (7)Barcelona W (1)
    3Arsenal W (5)Chelsea W (3)
    4Wolfsburg W (9)Lyon W (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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