Result
3:2
26/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 7
- Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Indonesia | Vidio |
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.69 | 0.49 |
Ball Possession |
---|
55% | 45% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
78% (378/484) | 74% (288/391) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.69 | 0.49 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.48 | 1.23 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
14 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
37 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
78% (378/484) | 74% (288/391) |
Long passes |
---|
54% (36/67) | 38% (28/73) |
Passes in final third |
---|
77% (122/159) | 55% (52/95) |
Crosses |
---|
17% (2/12) | 19% (3/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.17 | 0.55 |
Throw-ins |
---|
25 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
71% (12/17) | 50% (8/16) |
Duels won |
---|
54 | 54 |
Clearances |
---|
20 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 18 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 8 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.23 | 2.48 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.77 | -0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', Dahlhaus J. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, van Wolfswinkel R. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Weidmann D. ↓, van den Belt T. ↑,
- 54', Peterson K. ↓, Lonwijk J. ↑,
- 55', Sierhuis K. ↓, Gladon P. ↑,
- 57', 2 - 0, van Rooij B. ⚽, Rots D. (A),
- 60', Brittijn P. ↓, Pinto I. ↑,
- 61', Limnios D. ↓, Aiko M. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 1, Lonwijk J. ⚽, Aiko M. (A),
- 73', Rots M. ↓, Kuipers B. ↑,
- 73', Orjasaeter S. ↓, Unuvar N. ↑,
- 76', Unuvar N. 🟨,
- 77', Adewoye S. ↓, Tunjic L. ↑,
- 78', 3 - 1, van den Belt T. ⚽, van Rooij B. (A),
- 78', Gladon P. 🟨,
- 84', Hlynsson K. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
- 90', 3 - 2, Tunjic L. ⚽, Gladon P. (A),
Chances of winning
Twente 70.3% | Draw 19.2% | Fortuna Sittard 10.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Twente's performance.Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortuna Sittard might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-9.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Twente that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortuna Sittard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Twente - Fortuna Sittard Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.37 ↓ (1.54) |
5.12 ↑ (4.58) |
9.75 ↑ (4.95) |
2.9% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Twente - Fortuna Sittard?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Twente will win (votes: 23 - 79.3%). Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 1 - 3.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 64.6% – 94%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Twente (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Twente won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Fortuna Sittard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Twente is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Twente: Hilgers M.
(Inactive)
Kjolo M.
(Knee Injury)
Lammers S.
(Shoulder Injury)
Lemkin S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bastien S.
(Illness)
Bayram R.
(Knee Injury)
Halilovic A.
(Ankle Injury)
Sinkgraven D.
(Knee Injury)
van Ottele S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Twente won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 1.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Twente won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Twente won against Fortuna Sittard?
Twente has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Sittard won against Twente?
Fortuna Sittard has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Twente - Fortuna Sittard were as follows:
05.04.2025
Twente
-
Fortuna Sittard
1:1
23.11.2024
Fortuna Sittard
-
Twente
1:2
06.04.2024
Twente
-
Fortuna Sittard
2:0
08.10.2023
Fortuna Sittard
-
Twente
0:3
11.03.2023
Fortuna Sittard
-
Twente
0:3
Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Feyenoord | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | 11 | 19 |
2 | PSV | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 25:11 | 14 | 19 |
3 | Ajax | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
4 | Groningen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
5 | Sittard | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
6 | Nijmegen | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 12 |
7 | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:11 | 4 | 12 |
8 | Utrecht | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:7 | 6 | 10 |
9 | Twente | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 10 |
10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:22 | -11 | 10 |
11 | G.A. Eagles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 9 |
12 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 9 |
13 | Telstar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
14 | FC Volendam | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
15 | NAC Breda | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
16 | Zwolle | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 7 |
17 | Excelsior | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 6 |
18 | Heracles | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6:18 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie