Result
3:2
26/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 7
- Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.69 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (378/484) | 74% (288/391) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.69 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (378/484) | 74% (288/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (36/67) | 38% (28/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (122/159) | 55% (52/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 2.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.77 | -0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', Dahlhaus J. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, van Wolfswinkel R. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Weidmann D. ↓, van den Belt T. ↑,
- 54', Peterson K. ↓, Lonwijk J. ↑,
- 55', Sierhuis K. ↓, Gladon P. ↑,
- 57', 2 - 0, van Rooij B. ⚽, Rots D. (A),
- 60', Brittijn P. ↓, Pinto I. ↑,
- 61', Limnios D. ↓, Aiko M. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 1, Lonwijk J. ⚽, Aiko M. (A),
- 73', Rots M. ↓, Kuipers B. ↑,
- 73', Orjasaeter S. ↓, Unuvar N. ↑,
- 76', Unuvar N. 🟨,
- 77', Adewoye S. ↓, Tunjic L. ↑,
- 78', 3 - 1, van den Belt T. ⚽, van Rooij B. (A),
- 78', Gladon P. 🟨,
- 84', Hlynsson K. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
- 90', 3 - 2, Tunjic L. ⚽, Gladon P. (A),
Chances of winning
Twente
70.3% | Draw
19.2% | Fortuna Sittard
10.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Twente's performance.Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortuna Sittard might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-9.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Twente that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortuna Sittard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Twente - Fortuna Sittard Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.54) |
5.12 ↑
(4.58) |
9.75 ↑
(4.95) |
2.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Twente - Fortuna Sittard?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Twente will win (votes: 23 - 79.3%). Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 1 - 3.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 64.6% – 94%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Twente (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Twente will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Twente (votes: 15 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Twente won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Fortuna Sittard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Twente is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Twente: Hilgers M.
(Inactive)
Kjolo M.
(Knee Injury)
Lammers S.
(Shoulder Injury)
Lemkin S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bastien S.
(Illness)
Bayram R.
(Knee Injury)
Halilovic A.
(Ankle Injury)
Sinkgraven D.
(Knee Injury)
van Ottele S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Twente won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 1.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Twente won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Twente won against Fortuna Sittard?
Twente has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Sittard won against Twente?
Fortuna Sittard has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Twente - Fortuna Sittard were as follows:
05.04.2025
Twente
-
Fortuna Sittard
1:1
23.11.2024
Fortuna Sittard
-
Twente
1:2
06.04.2024
Twente
-
Fortuna Sittard
2:0
08.10.2023
Fortuna Sittard
-
Twente
0:3
11.03.2023
Fortuna Sittard
-
Twente
0:3
Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 73:30 | 43 | 65 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 48 |
| 3 | Ajax | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Nijmegen | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 61:43 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Twente | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 41:26 | 15 | 41 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 42:40 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 32:42 | -10 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38:31 | 7 | 34 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 42:43 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Sittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 39:45 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | Groningen | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 38:39 | -1 | 29 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 28 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 27 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26:42 | -16 | 26 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 25:39 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 31:41 | -10 | 21 |
| 18 | Heracles | 25 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 32:65 | -33 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
