Result
1:2
21/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 28
- Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.85 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (218/304) | 79% (370/471) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (218/304) | 79% (370/471) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (24/55) | 38% (24/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (59/97) | 66% (84/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.78 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.02 | 2.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.98 | 1.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Limnios D. ⚽, Duijvestijn L. (A),
- 22', Dahlhaus J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 55', 1 - 1, Rots D. ⚽, Lammers S. (A),
- 57', Brittijn P. 🟨,
- 57', Pinto I. ↓, Marquez I. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 2, Hlynsson K. ⚽, Lammers S. (A),
- 72', Orjasaeter S. ↓, van Wolfswinkel R. ↑,
- 72', Weidmann D. ↓, Kjolo M. ↑,
- 75', Tunjic L. ↓, Sierhuis K. ↑,
- 75', Adewoye S. ↓, van Ottele S. ↑,
- 75', Brittijn P. ↓, Peterson K. ↑,
- 79', Rots D. ↓, Pjaca M. ↑,
- 86', Limnios D. ↓, Oukili Y. ↑,
- 90+1', Hlynsson K. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fortuna Sittard
16.1% | Draw
20.7% | Twente
63.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Fortuna Sittard - Twente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.9 ↑
(4.8) |
4.6 ↑
(4.35) |
1.5 ↓
(1.53) |
5.3%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Fortuna Sittard - Twente?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Twente will win (votes: 9 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 26.9% – 73.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 0.
- In recent matches, Fortuna Sittard has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Twente is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Twente is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bayram R.
(Knee Injury)
Branderhorst M.
(Injury)
Halilovic A.
(Inactive)
Lonwijk J.
(Muscle Injury)
Marsman N.
(Inactive)
Sinkgraven D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Twente: Hilgers M.
(Knee Injury)
van den Belt T.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Ihattaren M.
(Injury)
Sierhuis K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:26. (average 1.1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Sittard won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Sittard won against Twente?
Fortuna Sittard has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Twente won against Fortuna Sittard?
Twente has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortuna Sittard - Twente were as follows:
26.09.2025
Twente
-
Fortuna Sittard
3:2
05.04.2025
Twente
-
Fortuna Sittard
1:1
23.11.2024
Fortuna Sittard
-
Twente
1:2
06.04.2024
Twente
-
Fortuna Sittard
2:0
08.10.2023
Fortuna Sittard
-
Twente
0:3
Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 28 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 78:37 | 41 | 68 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 61:40 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 69:47 | 22 | 50 |
| 4 | Ajax | 28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 53:35 | 18 | 48 |
| 5 | Twente | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 47:30 | 17 | 47 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 47:45 | 2 | 42 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 42:31 | 11 | 41 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 49:46 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 35:47 | -12 | 41 |
| 10 | Groningen | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 40:37 | 3 | 38 |
| 11 | Sittard | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 43:52 | -9 | 35 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 38:53 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 45:45 | 0 | 32 |
| 14 | Telstar | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 30:48 | -18 | 27 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 29:47 | -18 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 29:50 | -21 | 23 |
| 18 | Heracles | 28 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 33:70 | -37 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
