Twente vs Fortuna Sittard – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie Twente - Fortuna Sittard
Result
3:2
26/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 7
  • Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDubai Sports 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.690.49
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
104
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
78% (378/484)74% (288/391)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.690.49
xG on target (xGOT)
2.481.23
Total shots
188
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
143
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
3715
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
78% (378/484)74% (288/391)
Long passes
54% (36/67)38% (28/73)
Passes in final third
77% (122/159)55% (52/95)
Crosses
17% (2/12)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.170.55
Throw-ins
2521
Fouls
1413
Tackles
71% (12/17)50% (8/16)
Duels won
5454
Clearances
2023
Interceptions
718
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
28
xGOT faced
1.232.48
Goals prevented
-0.77-0.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', Dahlhaus J. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, van Wolfswinkel R. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Weidmann D. , van den Belt T. ,
  • 54', Peterson K. , Lonwijk J. ,
  • 55', Sierhuis K. , Gladon P. ,
  • 57', 2 - 0, van Rooij B. , Rots D. (A),
  • 60', Brittijn P. , Pinto I. ,
  • 61', Limnios D. , Aiko M. ,
  • 72', 2 - 1, Lonwijk J. , Aiko M. (A),
  • 73', Rots M. , Kuipers B. ,
  • 73', Orjasaeter S. , Unuvar N. ,
  • 76', Unuvar N. 🟨,
  • 77', Adewoye S. , Tunjic L. ,
  • 78', 3 - 1, van den Belt T. , van Rooij B. (A),
  • 78', Gladon P. 🟨,
  • 84', Hlynsson K. , Verschueren A. ,
  • 90', 3 - 2, Tunjic L. , Gladon P. (A),

Chances of winning


Twente
70.3%
Draw
19.2%
Fortuna Sittard
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.7% 20.4% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 20.4% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Twente's performance.
  • Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortuna Sittard might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Twente that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortuna Sittard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Twente - Fortuna Sittard Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.54)
    5.12
    (4.58)
    9.75
    (4.95)
    2.9%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Twente - Fortuna Sittard?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Twente will win (votes: 23 - 79.3%). Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 1 - 3.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 64.6%94%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Twente (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Twente won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Fortuna Sittard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Twente is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Twente: Hilgers M. (Inactive) Kjolo M. (Knee Injury) Lammers S. (Shoulder Injury) Lemkin S. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bastien S. (Illness) Bayram R. (Knee Injury) Halilovic A. (Ankle Injury) Sinkgraven D. (Knee Injury) van Ottele S. (Inactive)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Twente won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 1.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Twente won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.8:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Twente - Fortuna Sittard were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Twente - Fortuna Sittard 1:1
    23.11.2024 Fortuna Sittard - Twente 1:2
    06.04.2024 Twente - Fortuna Sittard 2:0
    08.10.2023 Fortuna Sittard - Twente 0:3
    11.03.2023 Fortuna Sittard - Twente 0:3
    Latest results of Twente
    19.09.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Twente 1:5
    13.09.2025 Twente - NAC Breda 2:2
    30.08.2025 Excelsior - Twente 1:0
    24.08.2025 Heerenveen - Twente 1:2
    17.08.2025 Twente - PSV Eindhoven 0:2
    Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Feyenoord761015:41119
    2PSV861125:111419
    3Ajax844017:10716
    4Groningen850314:11315
    5Sittard841313:12113
    6Nijmegen740321:13812
    7AZ Alkmaar733115:11412
    8Utrecht731313:7610
    9Twente731312:10210
    10Sparta Rotterdam831411:22-1110
    11G.A. Eagles723213:1309
    12Heerenveen823312:13-19
    13Telstar72149:13-47
    14FC Volendam81439:13-47
    15NAC Breda82158:14-67
    16Zwolle82157:15-87
    17Excelsior82067:17-106
    18Heracles71066:18-123

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie