Tyler Zink vs Miguel Tobon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
19/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelos, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
147
Double Faults
26
1st serve percentage
63%65%
1st serve points won
85% (47/55)68% (44/65)
2nd serve points won
66% (21/32)60% (21/35)
Break Points Saved
1/21/2
1st return points won
32% (21/65)15% (8/55)
2nd return points won
40% (14/35)34% (11/32)
Break Points Converted
1/21/2
Winners
2836
Unforced errors
2242
Net points won
82% (9/11)65% (13/20)
Service Points Won
78% (68/87)66% (65/98)
Return Points Won
34% (33/98)22% (19/87)
Total Points Won
55% (101/185)45% (84/185)
Last 10 balls
100
Match points saved
00
Service games won
94% (15/16)93% (14/15)
Return games won
7% (1/15)6% (1/16)
Total games won
52% (16/31)48% (15/31)

Chances of winning


Tyler Zink
59.8%
Miguel Tobon
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.7% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9% 35.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tyler Zink has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Miguel Tobon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tyler Zink than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tyler Zink, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Miguel Tobon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tyler Zink - Miguel Tobon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.52)

    2.32
    (2.35)
    7%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Zink is ranked ATP: 331. Tobon is ranked ATP: 563.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Zink may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Zink could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Tyler Zink
    17.03.2026 Tyler Zink - Marc Polmans 2:0
    12.03.2026 Tyler Zink - Oren Vasser Vasser O. retired
    11.03.2026 Tyler Zink - Tsz Fu Wong 2:0
    12.02.2026 Tyler Zink - Braden Shick 0:2
    Latest results of Miguel Tobon
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Gomez F. A. (1)Martin D.1 : 2
    2Zhukayev B.Mena F.0 : 2
    3Delaney Ja. (Q)Daniel T.0 : 2
    4Mayo A. (PR)Andrade A. (6)0 : 2
    5Crawford O. (3)Wiskandt M.2 : 0
    6Ayeni A. (Alt)Smith K.2 : 1
    7Catry R. (Q)Hayen A. (WC)0 : 2
    8Ursu V.Martin A. (8)1 : 2
    9Kozlov S. (7)Magadan A. (WC)2 : 0
    10Mmoh M.Rubio Fierros A. F. (Q)2 : 0
    11Shah A.Alujas R. (WC)2 : 1
    12Pacheco Mendez R.Galarneau A. (4)2 : 0
    13Huesler M. (5)Yuzuki T. (Q)2 : 1
    14Hernandez A.Colson T. (Q)2 : 0
    15Zink T.Polmans M.2 : 0
    16Tobon M. (Q)Ficovich J. P.2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Martin D.Mena F.0 : 2
    2Daniel T.Andrade A. (6)2 : 1
    3Crawford O. (3)Ayeni A.1 : 2
    4Hayen A.Martin A. (8)1 : 2
    5Kozlov S. (7)Mmoh M.0 : 2
    6Shah A. (RET.)Pacheco Mendez R.0 : 1
    7Huesler M. (5)Hernandez A.2 : 0
    8Zink T.Tobon M.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Mena F.Daniel T.0 : 2
    2Ayeni A.Martin A. (8)0 : 2
    3Mmoh M.Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 1
    4Huesler M. (5)Zink T.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Daniel T.Martin A. (8)2 : 1
    2Mmoh M.Zink T.2 : 1

    Final
    1Daniel T.Mmoh M.