Uberlândia vs Itabirito – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Uberlândia - Itabirito
28/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1418
Shots on target
57
Corner Kicks
15
Total shots
1418
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
911
Corner Kicks
15
Goalkeeper Saves
71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Alan ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 48', 2 - 0, Leandro Moura ,
  • 50', 3 - 0, ,
  • 71', 4 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Uberlândia
45.5%
Draw
29.5%
Itabirito
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 28.3% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 27.1% 23.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Uberlândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Itabirito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uberlândia than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabirito than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Uberlândia - Itabirito Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (1.93)
    3.12
    (3.2)
    3.68
    (3.68)
    8.7%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 and 7)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uberlândia won 1.
    • Uberlândia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Itabirito is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Uberlândia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Uberlândia won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Uberlândia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Uberlândia - Itabirito were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Itabirito - Uberlândia 1:3
    26.01.2025 Uberlândia - Itabirito 1:1
    14.02.2024 Uberlândia - Itabirito 1:2
    02.08.2023 Uberlândia - Itabirito 2:3
    08.07.2023 Itabirito - Uberlândia 0:0
    Latest results of Uberlândia
    Latest results of Itabirito
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    10CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    11Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    12CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    13AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    14EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    15Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    7AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    8Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA3 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Santa CruzAmerica RN1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CianorteBarra FC0 : 1, 0 : 0
    4GoiatubaInter de Limeira0 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1MaranhaoSanta Cruz
    2Barra FCInter de Limeira

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2