El Ejido vs UCAM Murcia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 El Ejido - UCAM Murcia
Result
0:1
16/04/2023 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 30

Chances of winning


El Ejido
26.1%
Draw
31.1%
UCAM Murcia
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 32.2% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2% 34.8% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Ejido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Ejido's form might have worsened.
  • UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UCAM Murcia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Ejido than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Ejido, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UCAM Murcia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • El Ejido - UCAM Murcia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.48
    (2.62)
    2.92
    (2.8)
    2.13
    (2.7)
    9.8%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches El Ejido won 1.
    • Recent matches El Ejido is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • UCAM Murcia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • UCAM Murcia will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches El Ejido won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-9.
    • Including matches at home between the teams El Ejido won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Ejido - UCAM Murcia were as follows:
    04.12.2022 UCAM Murcia - El Ejido 1:1
    Latest results of El Ejido
    08.04.2023 Mancha Real - El Ejido 0:2
    26.03.2023 Vélez - El Ejido 1:1
    19.03.2023 El Ejido - Xerez Deportivo 2:1
    11.03.2023 Sevilla B - El Ejido 3:1
    Latest results of UCAM Murcia
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SD LogronesCD Estepona1 : 2, 1 : 1
    2CacerenoReal Avila2 : 0, 0 : 2
    3BalearesTeruel2 : 5, 1 : 1
    4NumanciaGetafe B0 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Union MalacitanoTorrent0 : 2, 1 : 2
    6CF TalaveraUtebo FC5 : 2, 0 : 1
    7Eibar BSabadell0 : 1, 1 : 1
    8UCAM MurciaDep. Fabril3 : 1, 0 : 0
    9Sant AndreuRayo Majadahonda1 : 2, 0 : 0
    10Real AvilesAntoniano2 : 2, 0 : 0

    Final
    1CD EsteponaCacereno2 : 5, 1 : 0
    2TeruelNumancia1 : 0, 0 : 0
    3TorrentCF Talavera0 : 2, 1 : 1
    4SabadellUCAM Murcia0 : 0, 2 : 1
    5Rayo MajadahondaReal Aviles0 : 4, 0 : 2