Result
1:2
25/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Spain | WebDirecto |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 56', 0 - 1, Soto A. ⚽,
- 67', 0 - 2, Aquino D. ⚽,
- 83', 1 - 2, Beni ⚽,
Chances of winning
Xerez Deportivo 26.3% | Draw 33.5% | UCAM Murcia 40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Xerez Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-2%)
Xerez Deportivo - UCAM Murcia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.48 ↑ (3) |
2.73 ↓ (2.93) |
2.27 ↓ (2.33) |
9.6% (10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Xerez Deportivo - UCAM Murcia?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, UCAM Murcia has had a series of home games.
- UCAM Murcia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xerez Deportivo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:12. (average 0.4:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Xerez Deportivo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Xerez Deportivo won against UCAM Murcia?
Xerez Deportivo has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UCAM Murcia won against Xerez Deportivo?
UCAM Murcia has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Xerez Deportivo - UCAM Murcia were as follows:
12.10.2025
UCAM Murcia
-
Xerez Deportivo
2:1
04.05.2025
UCAM Murcia
-
Xerez Deportivo
3:0
22.12.2024
Xerez Deportivo
-
UCAM Murcia
0:2
29.01.2023
Xerez Deportivo
-
UCAM Murcia
1:2
11.09.2022
UCAM Murcia
-
Xerez Deportivo
3:0
Latest results of Xerez Deportivo
Latest results of UCAM Murcia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 52:37 | 15 | 60 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49:33 | 16 | 60 |
| 3 | Aguilas FC | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 43:25 | 18 | 58 |
| 4 | Jaen | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 42:32 | 10 | 57 |
| 5 | Xerez CD | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 31:24 | 7 | 56 |
| 6 | UCAM Murcia | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 49:40 | 9 | 55 |
| 7 | Recreativo Huelva | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38:23 | 15 | 54 |
| 8 | Linares | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 41:43 | -2 | 47 |
| 9 | Lorca Deportiva | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | -3 | 45 |
| 10 | Yeclano | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 32:32 | 0 | 43 |
| 11 | Antoniano | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 37:39 | -2 | 43 |
| 12 | CD Estepona | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 39:43 | -4 | 43 |
| 13 | La Union | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 43:43 | 0 | 42 |
| 14 | Puente Genil | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 40 |
| 15 | Xerez D.F.C. ✔ | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 32:40 | -8 | 36 |
| 16 | Melilla ✔ | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 33:37 | -4 | 33 |
| 17 | Almeria B ✔ | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 26:51 | -25 | 21 |
| 18 | Malaga B ✔ | 33 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 29:63 | -34 | 20 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Xerez D.F.C. is Relegated to
Melilla is Relegated to
Almeria B is Relegated to
Malaga B is Relegated to