Result
1:1
30/11/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 65', Kovalyuk R. 🟨,
- 66', Kovalyuk R. ↓, Yanchak V. ↑,
- 72', Pedro Acacio ↓, Wendell ↑,
- 78', Zakhidnyi P. 🟨,
- 81', Zaloga M. ↓, Vilkhovyi A. ↑,
- 85', Bogdanov A. ↓, Buryak R. ↑,
- 86', 0 - 1, Zakhidnyi P. ⚽,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Buryak R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Feniks-Mariupol 39.1% | Draw 28.4% | UCSA 32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Feniks-Mariupol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)UCSA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feniks-Mariupol than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCSA than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Feniks-Mariupol - UCSA Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.32 ↓ (2.53) |
3.19 ↓ (3.23) |
2.79 ↑ (2.53) |
10.2% (10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation) and 7).
- Recent performances by Feniks-Mariupol have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- UCSA is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- UCSA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Feniks-Mariupol won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Feniks-Mariupol won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Feniks-Mariupol won against UCSA?
Feniks-Mariupol has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UCSA won against Feniks-Mariupol?
UCSA has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Feniks-Mariupol - UCSA were as follows:
17.08.2025
UCSA
-
Feniks-Mariupol
0:0
14.10.2024
UCSA
-
Feniks-Mariupol
Postponed
26.08.2024
Feniks-Mariupol
-
UCSA
2:3
11.07.2024
UCSA
-
Feniks-Mariupol
6:2
Latest results of Feniks-Mariupol
Ukrainian Persha Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bukovyna | 19 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 45:14 | 31 | 51 |
| 2 | Ch. Odesa | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 28:11 | 17 | 41 |
| 3 | Livyi Bereg | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 31:12 | 19 | 40 |
| 4 | Inhulets | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 32:17 | 15 | 36 |
| 5 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 21:17 | 4 | 34 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 24:21 | 3 | 26 |
| 7 | Nyva Ternopil | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 24 |
| 8 | UCSA | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18:21 | -3 | 23 |
| 9 | Vorskla Poltava | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 21 |
| 10 | Viktoria | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 19 |
| 11 | Fenix Mariupol | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15:23 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Metalist Kharkiv | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 17:22 | -5 | 19 |
| 13 | FC Chernihiv | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 19 |
| 14 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16:29 | -13 | 17 |
| 15 | Probiy Horodenka | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17:29 | -12 | 16 |
| 16 | SK Metalurh | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 9:37 | -28 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Persha Liga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Druha Liga