Feniks-Mariupol vs UCSA – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
30/11/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Persha Liga - Round 18

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 65', Kovalyuk R. 🟨,
  • 66', Kovalyuk R. , Yanchak V. ,
  • 72', Pedro Acacio , Wendell ,
  • 78', Zakhidnyi P. 🟨,
  • 81', Zaloga M. , Vilkhovyi A. ,
  • 85', Bogdanov A. , Buryak R. ,
  • 86', 0 - 1, Zakhidnyi P. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Buryak R. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Feniks-Mariupol
39.1%
Draw
28.4%
UCSA
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 28.1% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 29% 34.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Feniks-Mariupol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • UCSA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feniks-Mariupol than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCSA than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Feniks-Mariupol - UCSA Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.53)
    3.19
    (3.23)
    2.79
    (2.53)
    10.2%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation) and 7).
    • Recent performances by Feniks-Mariupol have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • UCSA is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • UCSA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Feniks-Mariupol won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1:2.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Feniks-Mariupol won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Feniks-Mariupol - UCSA were as follows:
    17.08.2025 UCSA - Feniks-Mariupol 0:0
    14.10.2024 UCSA - Feniks-Mariupol Postponed
    26.08.2024 Feniks-Mariupol - UCSA 2:3
    11.07.2024 UCSA - Feniks-Mariupol 6:2
    Latest results of UCSA
    22.11.2025 UCSA - Vorskla Poltava 1:1
    09.11.2025 Nyva Ternopil - UCSA 1:4
    01.11.2025 UCSA - Metalist Kharkiv 2:1
    24.10.2025 Bukovyna Chernivtsi - UCSA 4:1
    Ukrainian Persha Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bukovyna19163045:143151
    2Ch. Odesa19125228:111741
    3Livyi Bereg19124331:121940
    4Inhulets19106332:171536
    5Ahrobiznes Volochysk19104521:17434
    6Prykarpattya1975724:21326
    7Nyva Ternopil1966718:22-424
    8UCSA1965818:21-323
    9Vorskla Poltava1956816:19-321
    10Viktoria19541022:28-619
    11Fenix Mariupol19541015:23-819
    12Metalist Kharkiv1854917:22-519
    13FC Chernihiv1854917:24-719
    14Podillya Khmelnytskyi19451016:29-1317
    15Probiy Horodenka19441117:29-1216
    16SK Metalurh1925129:37-2811

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