UD Ourense vs Bergantiños – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 UD Ourense - Bergantiños
Result
0:1
16/12/2023 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 14

Chances of winning


UD Ourense
39.5%
Draw
29.5%
Bergantiños
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 28.4% 41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 27.9% 42.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • UD Ourense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UD Ourense's performance.
  • Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bergantiños might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UD Ourense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bergantiños could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • UD Ourense - Bergantiños Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (3.06)
    3.07
    (3.2)
    2.92
    (2.17)
    10.5%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • Recent matches UD Ourense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bergantiños in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Bergantiños will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches UD Ourense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
    • Including matches at home between the teams UD Ourense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    Latest results of UD Ourense
    02.12.2023 Arosa - UD Ourense 1:0
    26.11.2023 UD Ourense - Sarriana 2:1
    19.11.2023 Betanzos - UD Ourense 1:2
    12.11.2023 UD Ourense - Silva SD 2:5
    05.11.2023 Estradense - UD Ourense 0:0
    Latest results of Bergantiños
    26.11.2023 Bergantiños - Paiosaco 3:0
    19.11.2023 Arosa - Bergantiños 1:3
    12.11.2023 Bergantiños - Sarriana 1:1
    05.11.2023 Betanzos - Bergantiños 1:2
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2