UD Ourense vs Bergantiños – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
23/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainTVG

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Martinez R. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


UD Ourense
35.8%
Draw
31.7%
Bergantiños
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 30.3% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 29.2% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UD Ourense's form might have worsened.
  • Bergantiños has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UD Ourense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • UD Ourense - Bergantiños Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.22)
    2.87
    (3)
    2.81
    (3.17)
    9.8%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for UD Ourense - Bergantiños?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 6).
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • UD Ourense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, UD Ourense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, UD Ourense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between UD Ourense - Bergantiños were as follows:
    16.12.2023 UD Ourense - Bergantiños 0:1
    Latest results of UD Ourense
    Latest results of Bergantiños
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Oviedo B24147338:191949
    2Dep. Fabril24147339:142549
    3Gimnastica Segoviana23127428:21743
    4Coruxo FC24125732:23941
    5Salamanca24117631:22940
    6UD Ourense24108625:23238
    7Numancia24106831:26536
    8Real Avila2497833:37-434
    9Bergantinos2497827:25234
    10Marino de Luanco2379719:14530
    11Atl. Astorga24861025:29-430
    12Valladolid Promesas24771041:43-228
    13Rayo Cantabria24414638:33526
    14Sarriana24741327:32-525
    15Langreo24581120:30-1023
    16Lealtad24561319:32-1321
    17Burgos CF B24491127:42-1521
    18UD Samano24261616:51-3512

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