Result
1:0
23/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 Spain | TVG |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', 1 - 0, Martinez R. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
UD Ourense
35.8% | Draw
31.7% | Bergantiños
32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UD Ourense's form might have worsened.Bergantiños has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UD Ourense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
UD Ourense - Bergantiños Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↑
(2.22) |
2.87 ↓
(3) |
2.81 ↓
(3.17) |
9.8%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for UD Ourense - Bergantiños?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 6).
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- UD Ourense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, UD Ourense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, UD Ourense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has UD Ourense won against Bergantiños?
UD Ourense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bergantiños won against UD Ourense?
Bergantiños has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UD Ourense - Bergantiños were as follows:
16.12.2023
UD Ourense
-
Bergantiños
0:1
Latest results of UD Ourense
Latest results of Bergantiños
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Fabril | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 63 |
| 2 | Oviedo B | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 45:29 | 16 | 54 |
| 3 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 34:30 | 4 | 48 |
| 4 | UD Ourense | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33:28 | 5 | 48 |
| 5 | Real Avila | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 44:41 | 3 | 47 |
| 6 | Coruxo FC | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 38:32 | 6 | 45 |
| 7 | Salamanca | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 44 |
| 8 | Numancia | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 37:31 | 6 | 43 |
| 9 | Bergantinos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 36:32 | 4 | 42 |
| 10 | Atl. Astorga | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37:39 | -2 | 40 |
| 11 | Langreo | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 28:33 | -5 | 39 |
| 12 | Rayo Cantabria | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 51:41 | 10 | 39 |
| 13 | Marino de Luanco | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 25:23 | 2 | 38 |
| 14 | Sarriana | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 38:36 | 2 | 37 |
| 15 | Valladolid Promesas | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 50:56 | -6 | 33 |
| 16 | Burgos CF B | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 35:52 | -17 | 29 |
| 17 | Lealtad | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 25:44 | -19 | 27 |
| 18 | UD Samano ✔ | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 21:71 | -50 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
UD Samano is Relegated to
