UD Ourense vs Bergantiños – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
23/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainTVG

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Martinez R. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


UD Ourense
35.8%
Draw
31.7%
Bergantiños
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 30.3% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 29.2% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UD Ourense's form might have worsened.
  • Bergantiños has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UD Ourense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • UD Ourense - Bergantiños Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.22)
    2.87
    (3)
    2.81
    (3.17)
    9.8%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for UD Ourense - Bergantiños?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 6).
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • UD Ourense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, UD Ourense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, UD Ourense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between UD Ourense - Bergantiños were as follows:
    16.12.2023 UD Ourense - Bergantiños 0:1
    Latest results of UD Ourense
    Latest results of Bergantiños
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Fabril27159343:172654
    2Oviedo B27157543:261752
    3Gimnastica Segoviana27138631:25647
    4Salamanca27127838:29943
    5UD Ourense27118829:27241
    6Real Avila27118837:38-141
    7Coruxo FC271251035:29641
    8Numancia27117934:28640
    9Atl. Astorga271161032:30239
    10Bergantinos27108932:28438
    11Marino de Luanco27810922:20234
    12Rayo Cantabria27614744:36832
    13Sarriana27951331:33-232
    14Langreo27881124:31-732
    15Valladolid Promesas27781243:49-629
    16Burgos CF B275101228:44-1625
    17Lealtad27661520:36-1624
    18UD Samano27361820:60-4015

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