UD Ourense vs Marino de Luanco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 UD Ourense - Marino de Luanco
Result
0:1
21/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 73', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


UD Ourense
41.1%
Draw
29%
Marino de Luanco
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 28.2% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 27.9% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • UD Ourense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UD Ourense's performance.
  • Marino de Luanco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marino de Luanco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UD Ourense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marino de Luanco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • UD Ourense - Marino de Luanco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2.82)
    3.19
    (3.3)
    3.38
    (2.4)
    8.9%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Marino de Luanco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of UD Ourense
    21.08.2025 UD Ourense - Lugo 0:1
    17.08.2025 Arenteiro - UD Ourense 3:0
    10.08.2025 UD Ourense - Sarriana 5:0
    Latest results of Marino de Luanco
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Fabril660016:31318
    2R. Oviedo B541014:7713
    3Salamanca641110:5513
    4Real Avila54109:4513
    5Gimnastica Segoviana63218:3511
    6Marino de Luanco63216:2411
    7Sarriana630311:929
    8Bergantinos52218:628
    9Numancia52127:9-27
    10Rayo Cantabria61327:8-16
    11Coruxo FC51225:7-25
    12Valladolid Promesas51135:8-34
    13UD Ourense60333:6-33
    14Langreo60335:10-53
    15Burgos CF B50324:10-63
    16Atl. Astorga51044:12-83
    17Lealtad50233:8-52
    18UD Samano50143:11-81

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