UD Ourense vs Marino de Luanco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 UD Ourense - Marino de Luanco
21/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3

Chances of winning


UD Ourense
38.6%
Draw
29.2%
Marino de Luanco
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 28.2% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 27.9% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • UD Ourense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UD Ourense's performance.
  • Marino de Luanco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marino de Luanco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UD Ourense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marino de Luanco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • UD Ourense - Marino de Luanco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.82)
    3.16
    (3.3)
    2.88
    (2.4)
    8.2%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Marino de Luanco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of UD Ourense
    21.08.2025 UD Ourense - Lugo 0:1
    17.08.2025 Arenteiro - UD Ourense 3:0
    10.08.2025 UD Ourense - Sarriana 5:0
    Latest results of Marino de Luanco
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Avila33007:349
    2R. Oviedo B33007:349
    3Dep. Fabril22005:056
    4Gimnastica Segoviana21105:234
    5Salamanca21104:224
    6Numancia21103:214
    7Valladolid Promesas31114:404
    8Coruxo FC31113:304
    9Sarriana21014:313
    10Marino de Luanco21012:113
    11Rayo Cantabria21012:203
    12Bergantinos20113:4-11
    13UD Ourense20111:2-11
    14Lealtad20111:3-21
    15Langreo30122:5-31
    16Burgos CF B20111:4-31
    17UD Samano20020:5-50
    18Atl. Astorga30031:7-60

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