UD Ourense vs Marino de Luanco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
21/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 73', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


UD Ourense
41.1%
Draw
29%
Marino de Luanco
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 28.2% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 27.9% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • UD Ourense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UD Ourense's performance.
  • Marino de Luanco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marino de Luanco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UD Ourense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marino de Luanco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • UD Ourense - Marino de Luanco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.82)
    3.22
    (3.3)
    3.13
    (2.4)
    7.1%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Marino de Luanco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of UD Ourense
    21.08.2025 UD Ourense - Lugo 0:1
    17.08.2025 Arenteiro - UD Ourense 3:0
    10.08.2025 UD Ourense - Sarriana 5:0
    Latest results of Marino de Luanco
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Fabril28169346:182857
    2Oviedo B28158545:281753
    3Gimnastica Segoviana28139633:27648
    4UD Ourense28128832:28444
    5Salamanca28128838:29944
    6Real Avila28128839:39044
    7Coruxo FC281261036:30642
    8Numancia28118935:29641
    9Atl. Astorga281171034:32240
    10Bergantinos28109932:28439
    11Marino de Luanco288101023:22134
    12Rayo Cantabria28615748:40833
    13Sarriana28961332:34-233
    14Langreo28891125:32-733
    15Valladolid Promesas28791245:51-630
    16Burgos CF B285111232:48-1626
    17Lealtad28661621:39-1824
    18UD Samano ✔ 28361921:63-4215

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    UD Samano is Relegated to