Polvorín vs UD Ourense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Polvorín - UD Ourense
Result
2:2
02/02/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 20

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, ,
  • 10', 2 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 58', 2 - 1, Barbosa J. ,
  • 76', 🟥,
  • 84', 2 - 2, Guisande A. ,

Chances of winning


Polvorín
25.8%
Draw
31.4%
UD Ourense
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.9% 28.3% 49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6% 27.9% 50.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Polvorín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UD Ourense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polvorín than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD Ourense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Polvorín - UD Ourense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.54
    (4.16)
    2.91
    (3.22)
    2.13
    (1.83)
    9.7%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • Recent matches Polvorín is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • UD Ourense is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match UD Ourense is a favorite.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Polvorín won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:7 (average 3.3:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Polvorín won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:2 (average 4.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Polvorín - UD Ourense were as follows:
    22.09.2024 UD Ourense - Polvorín 3:2
    28.03.2024 Polvorín - UD Ourense 4:2
    29.10.2023 UD Ourense - Polvorín 2:2
    Latest results of Polvorín
    19.01.2025 Polvorín - Barbadás 2:0
    12.01.2025 RC Villalbes - Polvorín 1:0
    22.12.2024 Polvorín - Noia 1:0
    15.12.2024 Viveiro - Polvorín 1:3
    06.12.2024 Polvorín - Sarriana 0:2
    Latest results of UD Ourense
    19.01.2025 Noia - UD Ourense 1:2
    12.01.2025 Viveiro - UD Ourense 1:1
    21.12.2024 UD Ourense - Sarriana 0:0
    14.12.2024 Alondras - UD Ourense 0:4
    08.12.2024 UD Ourense - Silva SD 1:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2