Result
Postponed
21/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 27
Chances of winning
Arcángel San Miguel
21.1% | Draw
28.3% | UD San Fernando
50.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arcángel San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)UD San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arcángel San Miguel than the current prediction. (+0.7%)The ML Model estimate for UD San Fernando aligns with the current prediction.
Arcángel San Miguel - UD San Fernando Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.31 ↑
(4.02) |
3.21
(3.21) |
1.79 ↓
(1.83) |
10.1%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )).
- San Miguel has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- UD San Fernando is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- UD San Fernando may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, UD San Fernando has had a series of home games.
- In this match, UD San Fernando is considered a favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, San Miguel won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, San Miguel won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Arcángel San Miguel won against UD San Fernando?
Arcángel San Miguel has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UD San Fernando won against Arcángel San Miguel?
UD San Fernando has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arcángel San Miguel - UD San Fernando were as follows:
09.11.2025
UD San Fernando
-
Arcángel San Miguel
1:0
09.03.2025
UD San Fernando
-
Arcángel San Miguel
3:0
Latest results of Arcángel San Miguel
Latest results of UD San Fernando
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Paso | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 40:15 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | San Fernando | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 51 |
| 3 | Tenerife C | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 44:31 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Panaderia | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 40:22 | 18 | 48 |
| 5 | Tamaraceite | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 38:25 | 13 | 48 |
| 6 | Mensajero | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 43:27 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Lanzarote | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 39:30 | 9 | 40 |
| 8 | Villa Santa Brigida | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 31:26 | 5 | 40 |
| 9 | Real Union Tenerife | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 30:26 | 4 | 40 |
| 10 | Las Palmas C | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 49:38 | 11 | 38 |
| 11 | CD Marino | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 34 |
| 12 | Arucas | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 27 |
| 13 | Yaiza | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 25:34 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 | San Bartolome | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 22:46 | -24 | 24 |
| 15 | San Miguel | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 23 |
| 16 | Herbania | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 32:46 | -14 | 23 |
| 17 | SD Tenisca | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 21:56 | -35 | 17 |
| 18 | Telde | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:56 | -35 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
