Result
1:2
08/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 27
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 13', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 33', 1 - 1, Serbourdin S. ⚽,
- 40', 1 - 2, Martel J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 79', Quintero F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Arcángel San Miguel 22.1% | Draw 28.2% | UD San Fernando 49.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arcángel San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)UD San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arcángel San Miguel than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (+1%)
Arcángel San Miguel - UD San Fernando Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.15 ↑ (4.02) |
3.26 ↑ (3.21) |
1.85 ↑ (1.83) |
8.8% (10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )).
- San Miguel has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- UD San Fernando is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- UD San Fernando may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, UD San Fernando has had a series of home games.
- In this match, UD San Fernando is considered a favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, San Miguel won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, San Miguel won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Arcángel San Miguel won against UD San Fernando?
Arcángel San Miguel has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UD San Fernando won against Arcángel San Miguel?
UD San Fernando has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arcángel San Miguel - UD San Fernando were as follows:
09.11.2025
UD San Fernando
-
Arcángel San Miguel
1:0
09.03.2025
UD San Fernando
-
Arcángel San Miguel
3:0
Latest results of Arcángel San Miguel
Latest results of UD San Fernando
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Paso | 30 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 47:16 | 31 | 61 |
| 2 | San Fernando | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 43:21 | 22 | 61 |
| 3 | Mensajero | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 47:30 | 17 | 54 |
| 4 | Tamaraceite | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 45:33 | 12 | 53 |
| 5 | Panaderia | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 44:29 | 15 | 51 |
| 6 | Tenerife C | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 46:37 | 9 | 50 |
| 7 | Las Palmas C | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 54:39 | 15 | 45 |
| 8 | Lanzarote | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 44 |
| 9 | Real Union Tenerife | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 34:29 | 5 | 44 |
| 10 | Villa Santa Brigida | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 34:31 | 3 | 43 |
| 11 | CD Marino | 30 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 43:33 | 10 | 38 |
| 12 | San Bartolome | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 28:54 | -26 | 30 |
| 13 | San Miguel | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 30:41 | -11 | 29 |
| 14 | Arucas | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 28:41 | -13 | 28 |
| 15 | Yaiza | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 27:42 | -15 | 27 |
| 16 | Herbania | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 27 |
| 17 | Telde | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26:61 | -35 | 23 |
| 18 | SD Tenisca | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )
Relegation