UD San Fernando vs Marino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 18

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Martel J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', 🟥,

Chances of winning


UD San Fernando
46.6%
Draw
28.9%
Marino
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 28.4% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 28.8% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • UD San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Marino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marino than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • UD San Fernando - Marino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.88)
    3.14
    (3.18)
    3.7
    (3.82)
    10.3%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UD San Fernando won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Marino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, UD San Fernando is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, UD San Fernando won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, UD San Fernando won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between UD San Fernando - Marino were as follows:
    07.09.2025 Marino - UD San Fernando 0:1
    27.04.2025 UD San Fernando - Marino 2:1
    Latest results of UD San Fernando
    Latest results of Marino
    22.02.2026 Telde - Marino 2:2
    15.02.2026 Marino - Lanzarote 1:1
    08.02.2026 Marino - Mensajero 0:1
    30.01.2026 Tenerife C - Marino 0:2
    25.01.2026 Marino - San Bartolomé 1:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Paso331812350:183266
    2San Fernando33199549:222766
    3Mensajero33179750:311960
    4Tamaraceite33186951:351660
    5Las Palmas C33159958:411754
    6Panaderia33159947:331454
    7Tenerife C331410949:45452
    8Lanzarote3312111045:36947
    9Villa Santa Brigida331451439:35447
    10Real Union Tenerife331281334:32244
    11CD Marino338151043:38539
    12Yaiza331071633:43-1037
    13San Miguel33991536:43-736
    14San Bartolome337121429:55-2633
    15Herbania337101638:57-1931
    16Arucas336121529:46-1730
    17SD Tenisca33672031:63-3225
    18Telde335101830:68-3825

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