Result
2:3
15/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 10
- Referee: Silantyev K. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Russia | MATCH! Planeta |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Bardachev M. ⚽,
- 21', 🟨,
- 38', Malkevich V. ↓, Kharin E. ↑,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Ozmanov D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Bondarev V. ↓, Ayupov T. ↑,
- 46', Margasov T. ↓, Cardoso D. ↑,
- 46', Mrzljak F. ↓, Troyanov K. ↑,
- 62', 🟨,
- 63', Ozmanov D. ↓, Matskharashvili N. ↑,
- 63', Karapuzov V. ↓, Voronov M. ↑,
- 70', Akhatov D. ↓, Chimezie W. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 2, Voronov M. ⚽,
- 75', Lukyanov A. 🟥,
- 77', 1 - 3, Voronov M. ⚽,
- 78', Akbashev R. ↓, Italo ↑,
- 80', Gystarov R. ↓, Baranovsky A. ↑,
- 81', Ortiz D. ↓, Karpuk I. ↑,
- 87', 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 3, Matskharashvili N. ⚽,
- 90+2', Ayupov T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ufa
20.9% | Draw
29% | Ural
50.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Ural has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ural's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ural than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ural, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ufa - Ural Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.57 ↑
(3.82) |
3.29 ↑
(3.09) |
1.91 ↓
(2.17) |
4.8%
(4.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ufa - Ural?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Ufa will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Ural will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ufa: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ufa (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ural (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Ural may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ural is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ufa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Ufa won against Ural?
Ufa has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ural won against Ufa?
Ural has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ufa - Ural were as follows:
11.05.2025
Ural
-
Ufa
2:1
12.08.2024
Ufa
-
Ural
0:2
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 51 |
| 2 | Ural | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 30:19 | 11 | 41 |
| 3 | Rodina Moscow | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 30:17 | 13 | 39 |
| 4 | S. Kostroma | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 31:25 | 6 | 35 |
| 5 | Chelyabinsk | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 28:20 | 8 | 35 |
| 6 | Kamaz | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 37:25 | 12 | 33 |
| 7 | SKA Khabarovsk | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 24:22 | 2 | 32 |
| 8 | R. Volgograd | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 25:18 | 7 | 31 |
| 9 | Neftekhimik | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 27:24 | 3 | 31 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 22 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 30:26 | 4 | 29 |
| 11 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 26 |
| 12 | Yenisey | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 15:26 | -11 | 24 |
| 13 | Torpedo Moscow | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 24 |
| 14 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 25:29 | -4 | 24 |
| 15 | Ulyanovsk | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 23 |
| 16 | Ufa | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 20 |
| 17 | Saratov | 22 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 10:23 | -13 | 16 |
| 18 | FK Chayka | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 19:47 | -28 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation
