Ufa vs Ural – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian FNL Ufa - Ural
Result
2:3
15/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 10
  • Referee: Silantyev K. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
russiaRussiaMATCH! Planeta

Match Stats

Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
510
Shots on target
36
Corner Kicks
34
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10
Total shots
510
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
24
Corner Kicks
34
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Bardachev M. ,
  • 21', 🟨,
  • 38', Malkevich V. , Kharin E. ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Ozmanov D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Bondarev V. , Ayupov T. ,
  • 46', Margasov T. , Cardoso D. ,
  • 46', Mrzljak F. , Troyanov K. ,
  • 62', 🟨,
  • 63', Ozmanov D. , Matskharashvili N. ,
  • 63', Karapuzov V. , Voronov M. ,
  • 70', Akhatov D. , Chimezie W. ,
  • 70', 1 - 2, Voronov M. ,
  • 75', Lukyanov A. 🟥,
  • 77', 1 - 3, Voronov M. ,
  • 78', Akbashev R. , Italo ,
  • 80', Gystarov R. , Baranovsky A. ,
  • 81', Ortiz D. , Karpuk I. ,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 88', 2 - 3, Matskharashvili N. ,
  • 90+2', Ayupov T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ufa
20.9%
Draw
29%
Ural
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25% 30.9% 44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3% 31.3% 43.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Ural has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ural's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ural than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ural, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ufa - Ural Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.57
    (3.82)
    3.29
    (3.09)
    1.91
    (2.17)
    4.8%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Ufa - Ural?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ufa will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Ural will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ufa: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ufa (votes: 1 - 50%). Ural (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Ural may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ural is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ufa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ufa - Ural were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Ural - Ufa 2:1
    12.08.2024 Ufa - Ural 0:2
    Latest results of Ufa
    03.09.2025 Torpedo Moscow - Ufa 0:0
    23.08.2025 KAMAZ - Ufa 3:1
    16.08.2025 Ufa - Rodina Moscow 0:0
    Latest results of Ural
    04.09.2025 Spartak Kostroma - Ural 1:1
    31.08.2025 Ural - Fakel 2:0
    25.08.2025 Ural - Volga Ulyanovsk 4:0
    18.08.2025 Torpedo Moscow - Ural 1:0
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1S. Kostroma1182120:11926
    2Ural1173119:81124
    3Fakel Voronezh1172210:7323
    4Chelyabinsk1163218:10821
    5R. Volgograd1163218:51321
    6Kamaz1154216:12419
    7Rodina Moscow1144317:13416
    8Neftekhimik1135312:13-114
    9Arsenal Tula1135317:14314
    10Shinnik Yaroslavl113537:7014
    11SKA Khabarovsk1134410:12-213
    12Ulyanovsk1132611:20-911
    13Ufa1124513:14-110
    14Yenisey112457:13-610
    15Chernomorets Novorossijsk1123613:16-39
    16Saratov111555:11-68
    17Torpedo Moscow111376:16-106
    18FK Chayka111379:26-176

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