Result
0:0
12/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 28
- Referee: Plisko M. (Rus)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Malkevich V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Malkevich V. ↓, Margasov T. ↑,
- 69', Sekulic M. ↓, Bogomolskiy E. ↑,
- 70', Zheleznov Y. ↓, Morozov N. ↑,
- 77', Agapov I. 🟨,
- 80', Ortiz D. ↓, Minatulaev O. ↑,
- 80', Khabalov A. ↓, Troyanov K. ↑,
- 80', Morozov N. 🟨,
- 86', Kharin E. ↓, Ivanisenia D. ↑,
- 87', Akbashev R. ↓, Markov E. ↑,
- 90+1', Yakuev M. ↓, Akhatov D. ↑,
- 90+4', Markov E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ural
60.4% | Draw
23.6% | Ufa
16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ural has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ural's form might have worsened.Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ural, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ufa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ural - Ufa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↑
(1.42) |
4 ↓
(4.36) |
5.9 ↓
(8.7) |
6.1%
(4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ural - Ufa?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ural will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Ufa (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ufa (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ural won 5.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Ufa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ural is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ural won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ural won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Ural won against Ufa?
Ural has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ufa won against Ural?
Ufa has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ural - Ufa were as follows:
15.09.2025
Ufa
-
Ural
2:3
11.05.2025
Ural
-
Ufa
2:1
12.08.2024
Ufa
-
Ural
0:2
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 34:13 | 21 | 59 |
| 2 | Rodina Moscow | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 45:23 | 22 | 52 |
| 3 | Ural | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 49 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 45 |
| 5 | S. Kostroma | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 40:33 | 7 | 44 |
| 6 | Kamaz | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 40 |
| 7 | Chelyabinsk | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 37:31 | 6 | 39 |
| 8 | Yenisey | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 27:32 | -5 | 37 |
| 9 | Neftekhimik | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 31:32 | -1 | 36 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 38:34 | 4 | 36 |
| 11 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 36 |
| 12 | Torpedo Moscow | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:34 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | SKA Khabarovsk | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 31:37 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Ulyanovsk | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 31:41 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 32:39 | -7 | 29 |
| 16 | Ufa | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 29:35 | -6 | 28 |
| 17 | FK Chayka | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 26:63 | -37 | 19 |
| 18 | Saratov | 28 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 12:36 | -24 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation
