Ural vs Ufa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
12/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 28
  • Referee: Plisko M. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
104
Shots on target
40
Corner kicks
72
Yellow cards
31
Total shots
104
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
64
Corner kicks
72
Free kicks
1318

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Malkevich V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Malkevich V. , Margasov T. ,
  • 69', Sekulic M. , Bogomolskiy E. ,
  • 70', Zheleznov Y. , Morozov N. ,
  • 77', Agapov I. 🟨,
  • 80', Ortiz D. , Minatulaev O. ,
  • 80', Khabalov A. , Troyanov K. ,
  • 80', Morozov N. 🟨,
  • 86', Kharin E. , Ivanisenia D. ,
  • 87', Akbashev R. , Markov E. ,
  • 90+1', Yakuev M. , Akhatov D. ,
  • 90+4', Markov E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ural
60.4%
Draw
23.6%
Ufa
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.2% 21.9% 11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7% 20.8% 10.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ural has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ural's form might have worsened.
  • Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ural, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ufa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ural - Ufa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.42)
    4
    (4.36)
    5.9
    (8.7)
    6.1%
    (4.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Ural - Ufa?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ural will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Ufa (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ufa (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ural won 5.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Ufa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ural is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ural won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ural won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ural - Ufa were as follows:
    15.09.2025 Ufa - Ural 2:3
    11.05.2025 Ural - Ufa 2:1
    12.08.2024 Ufa - Ural 0:2
    Latest results of Ural
    29.03.2026 Rodina Moscow - Ural 3:1
    22.03.2026 Ural - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2:4
    15.03.2026 Ural - Arsenal Tula 2:0
    09.03.2026 Rotor - Ural 1:1
    Latest results of Ufa
    06.04.2026 Ufa - Torpedo Moscow 1:1
    28.03.2026 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Ufa 1:0
    21.03.2026 Ufa - Volga Ulyanovsk 2:1
    15.03.2026 Ufa - Sokol Saratov 2:0
    09.03.2026 Shinnik - Ufa 1:0
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh32197641:221964
    2Rodina Moscow321711452:272562
    3Ural31177748:282058
    4R. Volgograd311410740:231752
    5Kamaz321213746:311549
    6S. Kostroma321212845:39648
    7Yenisey3212101036:34246
    8Shinnik Yaroslavl311013830:25543
    9Chelyabinsk321013940:36443
    10Torpedo Moscow321191235:38-342
    11Neftekhimik3210121038:37142
    12Arsenal Tula31814939:37238
    13Ulyanovsk32991433:43-1036
    14SKA Khabarovsk318111232:45-1335
    15Ufa317101430:37-731
    16Chernomorets Novorossijsk32781733:48-1529
    17FK Chayka32572030:69-3922
    18Saratov324101814:43-2922

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
          Relegation