Result
0:0
12/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 28
- Referee: Plisko M. (Rus)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Malkevich V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Malkevich V. ↓, Margasov T. ↑,
- 69', Sekulic M. ↓, Bogomolskiy E. ↑,
- 70', Zheleznov Y. ↓, Morozov N. ↑,
- 77', Agapov I. 🟨,
- 80', Ortiz D. ↓, Minatulaev O. ↑,
- 80', Khabalov A. ↓, Troyanov K. ↑,
- 80', Morozov N. 🟨,
- 86', Kharin E. ↓, Ivanisenia D. ↑,
- 87', Akbashev R. ↓, Markov E. ↑,
- 90+1', Yakuev M. ↓, Akhatov D. ↑,
- 90+4', Markov E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ural 60.4% | Draw 23.6% | Ufa 16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ural has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ural's form might have worsened.Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ural, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ufa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ural - Ufa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.56 ↑ (1.42) |
4 ↓ (4.36) |
5.9 ↓ (8.7) |
6.1% (4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ural - Ufa?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ural will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Ufa (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ufa (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ural won 5.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Ufa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ural is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ural won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ural won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Ural won against Ufa?
Ural has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ufa won against Ural?
Ufa has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ural - Ufa were as follows:
15.09.2025
Ufa
-
Ural
2:3
11.05.2025
Ural
-
Ufa
2:1
12.08.2024
Ufa
-
Ural
0:2
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 64 |
| 2 | Rodina Moscow | 32 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 52:27 | 25 | 62 |
| 3 | Ural | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 48:28 | 20 | 58 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 40:23 | 17 | 52 |
| 5 | Kamaz | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 46:31 | 15 | 49 |
| 6 | S. Kostroma | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 45:39 | 6 | 48 |
| 7 | Yenisey | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 36:34 | 2 | 46 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 30:25 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Chelyabinsk | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 43 |
| 10 | Torpedo Moscow | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:38 | -3 | 42 |
| 11 | Neftekhimik | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 39:37 | 2 | 38 |
| 13 | Ulyanovsk | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 33:43 | -10 | 36 |
| 14 | SKA Khabarovsk | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 32:45 | -13 | 35 |
| 15 | Ufa | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 31 |
| 16 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 33:48 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | FK Chayka | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 30:69 | -39 | 22 |
| 18 | Saratov | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 14:43 | -29 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation