Uganda vs Nigeria, Africa Cup of Nations – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Africa Cup of Nations
Result
1:3
30/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Africa Cup of Nations - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAfroSport TV Africa, CANAL+ CAN, DStv Now, New World Sport 6, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport PSL
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
brazilBrazilBand Play, BandSports, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
mexicoMexicoClaro Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaNTA Sports, SuperSport Football Plus
norwayNorwayVG+
portugalPortugalSport TV2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-africaSouth-africaSABC 3, SABC Plus, SuperSport PSL
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyExxen
ugandaUgandaNBS Sport 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdom4Seven, Channel 4
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.782.46
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
75% (164/220)92% (528/577)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.782.46
xG on target (xGOT)
0.871.77
Total shots
913
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
49
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
728
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
146
Passes
75% (164/220)92% (528/577)
Long passes
50% (26/52)71% (45/63)
Passes in final third
63% (49/78)79% (83/105)
Crosses
30% (3/10)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.501.93
Throw-ins
1517
Fouls
614
Tackles
70% (7/10)78% (7/9)
Duels won
4031
Clearances
2217
Interceptions
43
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
1.770.87
Goals prevented
-1.23-0.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', Bassey C. 🟨,
  • 28', 0 - 1, Onuachu P. ⚽, Dele-Bashiru F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Omedi D. ↓, Mukwala S. ↑,
  • 46', Mutyaba T. ↓, Okello A. ↑,
  • 46', Bassey C. ↓, Awaziem C. ↑,
  • 46', Onyango D. ↓, Magoola S. ↑,
  • 56', Magoola S. 🟥,
  • 59', Alhassan B. ↓, Alionzi N. ↑,
  • 62', 0 - 2, Onyedika R. ⚽, Chukwueze S. (A),
  • 66', Ikpeazu U. 🟨,
  • 67', 0 - 3, Onyedika R. ⚽, Chukwueze S. (A),
  • 75', 1 - 3, Mato R. ⚽, Okello A. (A),
  • 77', Onuachu P. ↓, Nnadi T. ↑,
  • 77', Onyemaechi B. ↓, Zaidu ↑,
  • 85', Ikpeazu U. ↓, Ssemugabi J. ↑,
  • 87', Osimhen V. ↓, Adams A. ↑,
  • 90', Awaziem C. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Chukwueze S. ↓, Lawal S. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4nfd43t7

Chances of winning


Uganda
18.5%		Draw
26.5%		Nigeria
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.2% 23.8% 63.1%

Uganda - Nigeria Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 5.11 ↓
(7.1)		 3.53 ↓
(3.93)		 1.72 ↑
(1.48)		 6.1%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Uganda - Nigeria?
  • Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Uganda will win (votes: 32 - 50%). Nigeria will win (votes: 22 - 34.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 15.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Uganda: 37.8% – 62.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Uganda (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Nigeria (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Uganda (1.91) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Nigeria has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Nigeria might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Uganda: Awany T. (Injury) Capradossi E. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Uganda won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
    Latest results of Uganda
    27.12.2025 Uganda - Tanzania 1:1 ✺
    23.12.2025 Tunisia - Uganda 3:1 ✺
    17.12.2025 Uganda - Gabon Canceled
    18.11.2025 Morocco - Uganda 4:0 ✺
    14.10.2025 Algeria - Uganda 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Nigeria
    27.12.2025 Nigeria - Tunisia 3:2 ✺
    23.12.2025 Nigeria - Tanzania 2:1 ✺
    16.12.2025 Egypt - Nigeria 2:1 ✺
    16.11.2025 Nigeria - D.R. Congo 1:2 ✺
    13.11.2025 Nigeria - Gabon 4:1 ✺
    Draw
    Qualification

    Final
    1SomaliaEswatini2 : 2, 0 : 3
    2Sao Tome and PrincipeSouth Sudan0 : 0, 1 : 1
    3ChadMauritius2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4DjiboutiLiberia0 : 0, 0 : 2
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