Result
1:3
30/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Africa Cup of Nations - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | AfroSport TV Africa, CANAL+ CAN, DStv Now, New World Sport 6, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport PSL |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2 |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Brazil | Band Play, BandSports, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, Now Player |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio |
 Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka |
 Mexico | Claro Sports |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | NTA Sports, SuperSport Football Plus |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Singapore | beIN Sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 South-africa | SABC 3, SABC Plus, SuperSport PSL |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Exxen |
 Uganda | NBS Sport 1 |
 United-kingdom | 4Seven, Channel 4 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 2.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 28% | 72% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (164/220) | 92% (528/577) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 2.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (164/220) | 92% (528/577) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (26/52) | 71% (45/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (49/78) | 79% (83/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.23 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', Bassey C. 🟨,
- 28', 0 - 1, Onuachu P. ⚽, Dele-Bashiru F. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Omedi D. ↓, Mukwala S. ↑,
- 46', Mutyaba T. ↓, Okello A. ↑,
- 46', Bassey C. ↓, Awaziem C. ↑,
- 46', Onyango D. ↓, Magoola S. ↑,
- 56', Magoola S. 🟥,
- 59', Alhassan B. ↓, Alionzi N. ↑,
- 62', 0 - 2, Onyedika R. ⚽, Chukwueze S. (A),
- 66', Ikpeazu U. 🟨,
- 67', 0 - 3, Onyedika R. ⚽, Chukwueze S. (A),
- 75', 1 - 3, Mato R. ⚽, Okello A. (A),
- 77', Onuachu P. ↓, Nnadi T. ↑,
- 77', Onyemaechi B. ↓, Zaidu ↑,
- 85', Ikpeazu U. ↓, Ssemugabi J. ↑,
- 87', Osimhen V. ↓, Adams A. ↑,
- 90', Awaziem C. 🟨,
- 90+3', Chukwueze S. ↓, Lawal S. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4nfd43t7
Chances of winning
Uganda
18.5% | Draw
26.5% | Nigeria
55% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Uganda - Nigeria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.11 ↓
(7.1) |
3.53 ↓
(3.93) |
1.72 ↑
(1.48) |
6.1%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Uganda - Nigeria?
Users Predictions:
64 users predict this event. Uganda will win (votes: 32 - 50%). Nigeria will win (votes: 22 - 34.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 15.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uganda: 37.8% – 62.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Uganda (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Nigeria (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Uganda (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Uganda (1.91) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH 0 - Uganda (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Nigeria (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Uganda (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Uganda (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Nigeria (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Nigeria has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Nigeria might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Uganda: Awany T.
(Injury)
Capradossi E.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Uganda won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Uganda won against Nigeria?
Uganda has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nigeria won against Uganda?
Nigeria has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Uganda - Nigeria were as follows:
Latest results of Nigeria
Draw
Final tournament1/8-finals| 1 | Mali (A2) | Tunisia (C2) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Senegal (D1) | Sudan (E3) | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Egypt (B1) | Benin (D3) | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Ivory Coast (F1) | Burkina Faso (E2) | 3 : 0 |
| 5 | Algeria (E1) | D.R. Congo (D2) | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Nigeria (C1) | Mozambique (F3) | 4 : 0 |
| 7 | South Africa (B2) | Cameroon (F2) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Morocco (A1) | Tanzania (C3) | 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Mali (A2) | Senegal (D1) | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Egypt (B1) | Ivory Coast (F1) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Algeria (E1) | Nigeria (C1) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Cameroon (F2) | Morocco (A1) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Senegal (D1) | Egypt (B1) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Nigeria (C1) | Morocco (A1) | 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Senegal (D1) | Morocco (A1) | 1 : 0 |
3rd place| 2 | Egypt (B1) | Nigeria (C1) | 0 : 1 |
