Ugo Blanchet vs Yosuke Watanuki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Watanuki Y. retired
03/03/2026 at 09:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
85
Double Faults
38
1st serve percentage
67%46%
1st serve points won
88% (35/40)66% (27/41)
2nd serve points won
50% (10/20)42% (20/48)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/1)44% (4/9)
1st return points won
34% (14/41)13% (5/40)
2nd return points won
58% (28/48)50% (10/20)
Break Points Converted
56% (5/9)100% (1/1)
Winners
2616
Unforced errors
2943
Net points won
100% (7/7)20% (1/5)
Service Points Won
75% (45/60)53% (47/89)
Return Points Won
47% (42/89)25% (15/60)
Total Points Won
58% (87/149)42% (62/149)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
91% (10/11)58% (7/12)
Return games won
42% (5/12)9% (1/11)
Total games won
65% (15/23)35% (8/23)

Chances of winning


Ugo Blanchet
43.5%
Yosuke Watanuki
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 51.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ugo Blanchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Yosuke Watanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Blanchet than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ugo Blanchet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yosuke Watanuki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ugo Blanchet - Yosuke Watanuki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.11)

    1.64
    (1.65)
    6.8%
    (8%)
    What is the prediction for Ugo Blanchet - Yosuke Watanuki?
  • Users Predictions: Yosuke Watanuki will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Yosuke Watanuki will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Blanchet is ranked ATP: 162. Watanuki is ranked ATP: 175.
    • Recent performances by Blanchet have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Watanuki is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Blanchet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • We predict that Watanuki will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Ugo Blanchet
    Latest results of Yosuke Watanuki
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Glinka D. (RET.)1 : 0
    2Holmgren A.Smith K. (Q)1 : 2
    3Sels J. (LL)Kouame M. (WC)0 : 2
    4Engel J.Zeppieri G. (5)1 : 2
    5Ofner S. (4)Loffhagen G. (Alt)2 : 1
    6Cassone M. (Q)Broom C. (Q)2 : 0
    7Rodionov J.Grenier H. (RET.)1 : 0
    8Added D. (Alt)Krumich M. (Q)0 : 2
    9Blanchet U. (8)Watanuki Y. (RET.) (Q)1 : 1
    10Bertola R. (Alt)Chidekh C.0 : 2
    11Herbert P.Bailly G. A. (Alt)2 : 1
    12Paris T. (WC)Virtanen O. (3)1 : 2
    13Budkov Kjaer N. (6)Molcan A.2 : 0
    14Tabur C. (Alt)Nishikori K. (Q)1 : 2
    15Safiullin R.Skatov T.2 : 0
    16Malige M. (WC)Choinski J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Smith K.2 : 1
    2Kouame M.Zeppieri G. (RET.) (5)1 : 0
    3Ofner S. (4)Cassone M.2 : 0
    4Rodionov J.Krumich M.2 : 0
    5Blanchet U. (8)Chidekh C.2 : 0
    6Herbert P.Virtanen O. (3)0 : 2
    7Budkov Kjaer N. (6)Nishikori K.2 : 1
    8Safiullin R.Choinski J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Kouame M.2 : 1
    2Ofner S. (4)Rodionov J.2 : 1
    3Blanchet U. (8)Virtanen O. (3)0 : 2
    4Budkov Kjaer N. (6)Choinski J. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Ofner S. (4)0 : 2
    2Virtanen O. (3)Budkov Kjaer N. (6)1 : 2

    Final
    1Ofner S. (4)Budkov Kjaer N. (6)2 : 1