Ugo Humbert vs Denis Shapovalov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Halle Ugo Humbert - Denis Shapovalov
Result
1:2
17/06/2025 at 08:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Halle, grass - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
108
Double Faults
66
1st Serve Percentage
68%56%
1st Serve Points Won
77% (50/65)66% (39/59)
2nd Serve Points Won
43% (13/30)55% (26/47)
Break Points Saved
57% (4/7)73% (8/11)
1st Return Points Won
34% (20/59)23% (15/65)
2nd Return Points Won
45% (21/47)57% (17/30)
Break Points Converted
27% (3/11)43% (3/7)
Winners
3123
Unforced Errors
4234
Net Points Won
83% (10/12)50% (5/10)
Service Points Won
66% (63/95)61% (65/106)
Return Points Won
39% (41/106)34% (32/95)
Total Points Won
52% (104/201)48% (97/201)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
81% (13/16)81% (13/16)
Return Games Won
19% (3/16)19% (3/16)
Total Games Won
50% (16/32)50% (16/32)

Chances of winning


Ugo Humbert
58.5%
Denis Shapovalov
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6% 45.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Ugo Humbert - Denis Shapovalov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.69)

    2.3
    (2.08)
    4.7%
    (7.2%)
    What is the prediction for Ugo Humbert - Denis Shapovalov?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Humbert will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Humbert: 48.9%92.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Humbert (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Humbert is ranked ATP: 20. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 30.
    • Recent performances by Humbert have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Shapovalov has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Humbert may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Humbert might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Humbert won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ugo Humbert - Denis Shapovalov were as follows:
    10.03.2023 Ugo Humbert - Denis Shapovalov 0:0
    Latest results of Ugo Humbert
    13.06.2025 Nuno Borges - Ugo Humbert 0:2
    12.06.2025 Daniel Evans - Ugo Humbert 0:2
    29.05.2025 Jacob Fearnley - Ugo Humbert Humbert U. retired
    Latest results of Denis Shapovalov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Hanfmann Y. (Q)2 : 0
    2Muller A.Bublik A.0 : 2
    3Marozsan F.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    4De Jong J. (LL)Machac T. (7)1 : 2
    5Rublev A. (4)Ofner S. (Q)2 : 0
    6Martinez P.Etcheverry T. M.0 : 2
    7Auger-Aliassime F.Djere L. (Q)2 : 1
    8Bergs Z.Khachanov K. (8)0 : 2
    9Cerundolo F. (5)Michelsen A.1 : 2
    10Tsitsipas S.Darderi L.2 : 1
    11Halys Q.Bonzi B. (Q)2 : 0
    12Altmaier D. (WC)Medvedev D. (3)0 : 2
    13Humbert U. (6)Shapovalov D.1 : 2
    14Fonseca J. (WC)Cobolli F.1 : 2
    15Sonego L.Struff J-L. (WC)2 : 0
    16Giron M.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bublik A.1 : 2
    2Marozsan F.Machac T. (7)0 : 2
    3Rublev A. (4)Etcheverry T. M.1 : 2
    4Auger-Aliassime F.Khachanov K. (8)1 : 2
    5Michelsen A.Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    6Halys Q.Medvedev D. (3)0 : 2
    7Shapovalov D.Cobolli F.1 : 2
    8Sonego L.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Bublik A.Machac T. (7)2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M.Khachanov K. (8)0 : 2
    3Michelsen A.Medvedev D. (3)0 : 2
    4Cobolli F.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Bublik A.Khachanov K. (8)2 : 1
    2Medvedev D. (3)Zverev A. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Bublik A.Medvedev D. (3)2 : 0