Ugo Humbert vs Lorenzo Sonego – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Stockholm Ugo Humbert - Lorenzo Sonego
Result
2:1
17/10/2025 at 06:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Stockholm, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
82
Double Faults
14
1st Serve Percentage
68%66%
1st Serve Points Won
66% (50/76)69% (41/59)
2nd Serve Points Won
67% (24/36)52% (16/31)
Break Points Saved
100% (12/12)44% (4/9)
1st Return Points Won
34% (20/59)36% (27/76)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (15/31)33% (12/36)
Break Points Converted
56% (5/9)0% (0/12)
Winners
3617
Unforced Errors
199
Net Points Won
114% (24/21)106% (17/16)
Service Points Won
65% (72/110)61% (55/90)
Return Points Won
39% (35/90)35% (38/110)
Total Points Won
54% (107/200)47% (93/200)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (13/13)64% (9/14)
Return Games Won
36% (5/14)0% (0/13)
Total Games Won
67% (18/27)33% (9/27)

Chances of winning


Ugo Humbert
61.5%
Lorenzo Sonego
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.6% 42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2% 40.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Ugo Humbert - Lorenzo Sonego Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.63)

    2.44
    (2.21)
    5%
    (6.6%)
    What is the prediction for Ugo Humbert - Lorenzo Sonego?
  • Users Predictions: Ugo Humbert will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Humbert is ranked ATP: 25. Sonego is ranked ATP: 47.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Humbert won 4.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Humbert may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Humbert won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ugo Humbert - Lorenzo Sonego were as follows:
    25.06.2025 Lorenzo Sonego - Ugo Humbert 0:2
    14.02.2025 Lorenzo Sonego - Ugo Humbert 0:2
    26.05.2024 Ugo Humbert - Lorenzo Sonego 1:3
    11.04.2024 Lorenzo Sonego - Ugo Humbert 1:2
    28.09.2023 Ugo Humbert - Lorenzo Sonego 2:1
    Latest results of Ugo Humbert
    Latest results of Lorenzo Sonego
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rune H. (1)Bye
    2De Jong J.Fucsovics M.0 : 2
    3Lajal M. (Q)Etcheverry T. M.1 : 2
    4Kecmanovic M.Muller A. (6)2 : 0
    5Humbert U. (4)Bye
    6Berrettini M.Zeppieri G. (Q)2 : 0
    7Fery A. (Q)Sonego L.0 : 2
    8Kovacevic A.Ugo Carabelli C. (RET.) (8)1 : 1
    9Griekspoor T. (5)Fearnley J.1 : 2
    10Ymer E. (WC)Ymer M. (WC)2 : 0
    11Borg L. (WC)Ofner S. (PR)2 : 0
    12ByeShapovalov D. (3)
    13Popyrin A. (7)Korda S.1 : 2
    14Majchrzak K.Misolic F. (Q)2 : 0
    15Budkov Kjaer N. (NG)Cilic M.0 : 2
    16ByeRuud C. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Rune H. (1)Fucsovics M.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    3Humbert U. (4)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    4Sonego L.Kovacevic A.2 : 0
    5Fearnley J.Ymer E.0 : 2
    6Borg L.Shapovalov D. (3)1 : 2
    7Korda S.Majchrzak K.2 : 1
    8Cilic M.Ruud C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Rune H. (1)Etcheverry T. M.2 : 1
    2Humbert U. (4)Sonego L.2 : 1
    3Ymer E.Shapovalov D. (3)1 : 2
    4Korda S.Ruud C. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Rune H. (RET.) (1)Humbert U. (4)1 : 0
    2Shapovalov D. (3)Ruud C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Humbert U. (4)Ruud C. (2)