Ugo Humbert vs Reilly Opelka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Basel Ugo Humbert - Reilly Opelka
Result
2:0
24/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Basel, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
916
Double Faults
12
1st Serve Percentage
67%77%
1st Serve Points Won
87% (34/39)81% (39/48)
2nd Serve Points Won
74% (14/19)36% (5/14)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)50% (1/2)
1st Return Points Won
19% (9/48)13% (5/39)
2nd Return Points Won
64% (9/14)26% (5/19)
Break Points Converted
50% (1/2)0% (0/0)
Winners
1226
Unforced Errors
311
Net Points Won
43% (3/7)69% (11/16)
Service Points Won
83% (48/58)71% (44/62)
Return Points Won
29% (18/62)17% (10/58)
Total Points Won
55% (66/120)45% (54/120)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
100% (11/11)91% (10/11)
Return Games Won
9% (1/11)0% (0/11)
Total Games Won
55% (12/22)45% (10/22)

Chances of winning


Ugo Humbert
68.7%
Reilly Opelka
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.5% 36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2% 35.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ugo Humbert's performance.
  • Reilly Opelka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reilly Opelka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Ugo Humbert - Reilly Opelka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.44)

    3
    (2.5)
    5%
    (9.4%)
    What is the prediction for Ugo Humbert - Reilly Opelka?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Humbert will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Opelka will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Humbert: 76.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Humbert (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Opelka (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Humbert is ranked ATP: 24. Opelka is ranked ATP: 62.
    • Humbert has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Opelka is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Humbert may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Humbert is considered a favorite.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Ugo Humbert
    Latest results of Reilly Opelka
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Vacherot V. (WC)2 : 1
    2Korda S.Humbert U.0 : 2
    3Baez S.Opelka R. (Q)0 : 2
    4Van De Zandschulp B. (LL)Lehecka J. (6)2 : 0
    5Ruud C. (4)Halys Q. (LL)2 : 0
    6Kecmanovic M.Wawrinka S. (WC)0 : 2
    7Brooksby J. (PR)Muller A.2 : 0
    8Sonego L.Davidovich Fokina A. (8)0 : 2
    9Mensik J. (7)Bernet H. (WC)2 : 1
    10Mpetshi Perricard G.Fonseca J.0 : 2
    11Collignon R. (SE)Royer V. (LL)0 : 2
    12Giron M.Shapovalov D. (9)1 : 2
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (5)Diallo G.2 : 0
    14Goffin D. (LL)Cilic M. (Q)0 : 2
    15Bertola R. (Q)Munar J.0 : 2
    16Majchrzak K. (Q)Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Humbert U.0 : 2
    2Opelka R.Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 1
    3Ruud C. (4)Wawrinka S.2 : 0
    4Brooksby J.Davidovich Fokina A. (8)1 : 2
    5Mensik J. (7)Fonseca J. (WO.)
    6Royer V.Shapovalov D. (9)0 : 2
    7Auger-Aliassime F. (5)Cilic M.2 : 0
    8Munar J.Shelton B. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Humbert U.Opelka R.2 : 0
    2Ruud C. (RET.) (4)Davidovich Fokina A. (8)0 : 1
    3Fonseca J.Shapovalov D. (RET.) (9)1 : 1
    4Auger-Aliassime F. (RET.) (5)Munar J.0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Humbert U. (RET.)Davidovich Fokina A. (8)0 : 1
    2Fonseca J.Munar J.2 : 0

    Final
    1Davidovich Fokina A. (8)Fonseca J.