Result
1:1
19/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (243/309) | 84% (345/412) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (243/309) | 84% (345/412) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (17/44) | 53% (28/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (59/86) | 69% (78/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (7/21) | 13% (4/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 83% (5/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.47 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', Rasak D. 🟨,
- 22', 0 - 1, Varga B. ⚽, Nagy B. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Ademi A. ↓, Geiger B. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Matko A. ⚽, Horvath K. (A),
- 70', Keita N. ↓, Abu Fani M. ↑,
- 70', Levi J. ↓, Joseph L. ↑,
- 81', Kanichowsky G. ↓, Pesic A. ↑,
- 81', Tucic M. ↓, Ganea G. ↑,
- 84', Nagy B. ↓, Gruber Z. ↑,
- 87', Abu Fani M. 🟨,
- 87', Geiger B. 🟨,
- 87', Ljujic M. 🟨,
- 88', Joseph L. 🟨,
- 90', Toth A. ↓, Otvos B. ↑,
- 90+1', Medeiros I. ↓, Bese B. ↑,
- 90+1', Ljujic M. ↓, Beridze G. ↑,
- 90+4', Otvos B. 🟨,
- 90+6', Grof D. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Ujpest
23.3% | Draw
24.4% | Ferencvárosi
52.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ujpest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ujpest than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Ujpest - Ferencvárosi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.01 ↑
(3.62) |
3.84 ↑
(3.82) |
1.79 ↓
(1.86) |
6.8%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ujpest - Ferencvárosi?
Users Predictions:
Ferencvárosi will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ujpest won 0.
- Recent form of Ujpest has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Ferencvárosi is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ferencvárosi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ferencvárosi is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ujpest won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 19 matches, and goals 7:48. (average 0.4:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ujpest won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 2:20. (average 0.3:2.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Ujpest won against Ferencvárosi?
Ujpest has won 0 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferencvárosi won against Ujpest?
Ferencvárosi has won 9 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ujpest - Ferencvárosi were as follows:
06.04.2025
Ferencvárosi
-
Ujpest
2:0
02.04.2025
Ferencvárosi
-
Ujpest
3:1
01.12.2024
Ujpest
-
Ferencvárosi
0:0
17.08.2024
Ferencvárosi
-
Ujpest
1:0
19.05.2024
Ferencvárosi
-
Ujpest
2:0
Latest results of Ferencvárosi
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Paks | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 26:17 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | MTK Budapest | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 24:18 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Kisvarda | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 16 |
| 4 | Ferencvaros | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | Gyor | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Debrecen | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Puskas Academy | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 15 |
| 8 | DVTK | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15:21 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Kazincbarcikai | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 10 |
| 10 | Ujpest | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Nyiregyhaza | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 9 |
| 12 | Zalaegerszegi | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
