Iceland vs Ukraine, FIFA World Cup – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football FIFA World Cup Iceland - Ukraine
Result
3:5
10/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Cup - Qualification
  • Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeUEFA TV
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceL'Equipe Live Foot
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport, SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport Select
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeyExxen
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine, Suspilne Sport
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.62
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
85% (549/645)74% (252/341)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.62
xG on target (xGOT)
1.522.21
Total shots
98
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2112
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
85% (549/645)74% (252/341)
Long passes
38% (20/52)31% (17/55)
Passes in final third
64% (84/131)62% (47/76)
Crosses
17% (3/18)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.630.52
Throw-ins
1818
Fouls
1113
Tackles
75% (6/8)50% (5/10)
Duels won
4345
Clearances
2130
Interceptions
219
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
2.211.52
Goals prevented
-2.79-1.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Malinovskyi R. , Mykolenko V. (A),
  • 35', 1 - 1, Ellertsson M. E. , Johannesson I. (A),
  • 39', Sudakov G. , Voloshyn N. ,
  • 41', Gudjohnsen A. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 2, Gutsulyak O. ,
  • 45+5', 1 - 3, Malinovskyi R. , Voloshyn N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 59', 2 - 3, Gudmundsson A. , Haraldsson H. (A),
  • 65', Matviienko M. 🟨,
  • 69', Thorsteinsson J. D. , Hlynsson K. ,
  • 69', Magnusson S. , Tomasson L. ,
  • 70', Vanat V. , Dovbyk A. ,
  • 70', Shaparenko M. , Ocheretko O. ,
  • 75', 3 - 3, Gudmundsson A. , Gudjohnsen A. (A),
  • 83', Mykolenko V. 🟨,
  • 85', 3 - 4, Kaliuzhnyi I. ,
  • 86', Gudjohnsen A. , Willumsson B. ,
  • 86', Johannesson I. , Thordarson G. ,
  • 86', Ellertsson M. E. , Anderson M. ,
  • 87', Malinovskyi R. , Bondarenko A. ,
  • 87', Gutsulyak O. , Veleten V. ,
  • 88', 3 - 5, Ocheretko O. , Bondarenko A. (A),
  • 90+1', Ocheretko O. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Iceland
31.5%
Draw
28.9%
Ukraine
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.2% 30.2% 40.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Iceland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Ukraine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Iceland - Ukraine Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.09
    (3.26)
    3.32
    (3.15)
    2.4
    (2.35)
    4.1%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Iceland - Ukraine?
  • Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Iceland will win (votes: 15 - 40.5%). Ukraine will win (votes: 16 - 43.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 16.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ukraine: 27.2%59.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Iceland (votes: 4 - 40%). Ukraine (votes: 5 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Iceland won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Iceland - Ukraine were as follows:
    26.03.2024 Ukraine - Iceland 2:1
    Latest results of Iceland
    09.09.2025 France - Iceland 2:1
    05.09.2025 Iceland - Azerbaijan 5:0
    10.06.2025 Northern Ireland - Iceland 1:0
    06.06.2025 Scotland - Iceland 1:3
    23.03.2025 Iceland - Kosovo 1:3
    Latest results of Ukraine
    09.09.2025 Azerbaijan - Ukraine 1:1
    05.09.2025 Ukraine - France 0:2
    10.06.2025 New Zealand - Ukraine 1:2
    07.06.2025 Canada - Ukraine 4:2
    23.03.2025 Belgium - Ukraine 3:0
    FIFA World Cup Table
    South America
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Argentina18122431:102138
    2Ecuador1888214:5929
    3Colombia1877428:181028
    4Uruguay1877422:121028
    5Brazil1884624:17728
    6Paraguay1877414:10428
    7Bolivia18621017:35-1820
    8Venezuela1846818:28-1018
    9Peru1826106:21-1512
    10Chile1825119:27-1811

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