Ukraine vs Sweden, FIFA World Cup – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
26/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Cup - Qualification - Promotion - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport Football
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIctimai TV
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 3
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFranceL'Equipe Live Foot
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 2
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport
greeceGreeceNova Sports News
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 3
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 6
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Action
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport PPV 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV, SPOTV Now
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeyExxen
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.802.38
Ball possession
68%32%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
44
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
93
Passes
84% (474/563)75% (205/272)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
0.802.38
xG on target (xGOT)
1.542.91
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
54
Blocked shots
12
Shots inside the box
79
Shots outside the box
31
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
2117
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free kicks
1012
Passes
84% (474/563)75% (205/272)
Long passes
33% (15/46)36% (19/53)
Passes in final third
72% (97/135)62% (56/90)
Crosses
16% (5/31)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.66
Throw ins
2218
Fouls
1210
Tackles
50% (9/18)100% (6/6)
Duels won
4136
Clearances
843
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
2.911.54
Goals prevented
-0.090.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Gyökeres V. , Nygren B. (A),
  • 37', Hien I. , Starfelt C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 51', 0 - 2, Gyökeres V. , Nordfeldt K. (A),
  • 57', Tymchyk O. 🟨,
  • 60', Vanat V. , Yaremchuk R. ,
  • 60', Zubkov O. , Ocheretko O. ,
  • 60', Kaliuzhnyi I. , Gutsulyak O. ,
  • 71', Trubin A. 🟨,
  • 72', 0 - 3, Gyökeres V. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 75', Nordfeldt K. 🟨,
  • 77', Sudakov G. , Ponomarenko M. ,
  • 77', Gudmundsson G. , Svensson D. ,
  • 77', Ayari Y. , Bergvall L. ,
  • 85', Yarmolyuk Y. , Shaparenko M. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 3, Ponomarenko M. ,
  • 90+4', Elanga A. , Svanberg M. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/38n4hye3

Chances of winning


Ukraine
29.5%
Draw
29.3%
Sweden
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.7% 29.7% 37.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ukraine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Sweden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Ukraine - Sweden Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.26
    (2.94)
    3.28
    (3.24)
    2.34
    (2.55)
    3.9%
    (4.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Ukraine - Sweden?
  • Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Ukraine will win (votes: 16 - 33.3%). Sweden will win (votes: 20 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sweden: 27.8%55.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Ukraine (votes: 1 - 20%). Sweden (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH 0 - Ukraine (2.31) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Ukraine (2.29) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • TQ, OT - Ukraine (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Ukraine (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH +1 - Ukraine (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Ukraine (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Sweden (votes: 3 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Estadi Ciutat de València.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Ukraine: Dovbyk A. (Groin Injury) Konoplya Y. (Yellow Cards) Malinovskyi R. (Yellow Cards) Matviienko M. (Injury) Mykhavko T. (Injury) Zinchenko O. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sweden: Bernhardsson A. (Injury) Holm E. (Foot Injury) Isak A. (Broken Leg) Johansson V. (Shoulder Injury) Krafth E. (Knee Injury) Kulusevski D. (Knee Injury) Widell Zetterstrom J. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ukraine won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    Latest results of Ukraine
    16.11.2025 Ukraine - Iceland 2:0
    13.11.2025 France - Ukraine 4:0
    13.10.2025 Ukraine - Azerbaijan 2:1
    10.10.2025 Iceland - Ukraine 3:5
    09.09.2025 Azerbaijan - Ukraine 1:1
    Latest results of Sweden
    18.11.2025 Sweden - Slovenia 1:1
    15.11.2025 Switzerland - Sweden 4:1
    13.10.2025 Sweden - Kosovo 0:1
    10.10.2025 Sweden - Switzerland 0:2
    08.09.2025 Kosovo - Sweden 2:0
    FIFA World Cup Table
    South America
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Argentina18122431:102138
    2Ecuador1888214:5929
    3Colombia1877428:181028
    4Uruguay1877422:121028
    5Brazil1884624:17728
    6Paraguay1877414:10428
    7Bolivia18621017:35-1820
    8Venezuela1846818:28-1018
    9Peru1826106:21-1512
    10Chile1825119:27-1811

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