Ulm 1846 vs Osnabrück – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:5
12/12/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 18
  • Referee: Uhrig B. H. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 8
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 5
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
79
Shots on target
57
Corner Kicks
34
Yellow Cards
61
Total shots
79
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
22
Corner Kicks
34
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
811
Throw-ins
2923
Fouls
107

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Lesueur T. , Wagner F. (A),
  • 15', 0 - 2, Wiemann N. , Meissner R. (A),
  • 33', Mazagg L. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 2, Chessa D. , Dajaku L. (A),
  • 36', Dressel D. 🟨,
  • 39', Dajaku L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 47', Fabinski R. 🟨,
  • 48', 2 - 2, Besong P. , Dajaku L. (A),
  • 52', Kolle N. 🟨,
  • 56', 2 - 3, Kehl L. , Kammerbauer P. (A),
  • 58', 2 - 4, Kehl L. ,
  • 60', Brandt M. 🟨,
  • 70', Kehl L. , Proger K. ,
  • 71', Dressel D. , Loder E. ,
  • 71', Besong P. , Becker A. ,
  • 74', 2 - 5, Meissner R. , Lesueur T. (A),
  • 80', Lesueur T. , Wiethaup K. ,
  • 80', Kopacz D. , Henning B. ,
  • 81', Dajaku L. , Aksakal E. ,
  • 81', Meier J. , Gorlich L. ,
  • 83', Aksakal E. 🟨,
  • 87', 3 - 5, Loder E. , Gorlich L. (A),
  • 88', Fabinski R. , Karademir Y. ,
  • 88', Meissner R. , Ihorst L. ,
  • 90', Mazagg L. , Boller J. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Ulm 1846
29.4%
Draw
27.4%
Osnabrück
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.6% 26.2% 43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8% 25.5% 44.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • The chances for Osnabrück have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Ulm 1846 - Osnabrück Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.17
    (3.03)
    3.39
    (3.55)
    2.15
    (2.15)
    7.6%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Ulm 1846 - Osnabrück?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Ulm (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Osnabrück will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.03%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Osnabrück will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Ulm (votes: 1 - 20%). Osnabrück (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5).
    • Ulm has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Osnabrück has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Osnabrück will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Ulm 1846
    06.12.2025 Viktoria Köln - Ulm 1846 0:1
    29.11.2025 Ulm 1846 - 1860 München 0:1
    22.11.2025 TSV Havelse - Ulm 1846 2:1
    08.11.2025 Ulm 1846 - Hansa Rostock 0:5
    Latest results of Osnabrück
    30.11.2025 Verl - Osnabrück 4:1
    22.11.2025 Osnabrück - Ingolstadt 1:0
    15.11.2025 Bochum - Osnabrück 1:4
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cottbus25146551:381348
    2Duisburg25137546:321446
    3VfL Osnabruck25137538:241446
    4Verl25128560:382244
    5RW Essen251110448:41743
    6Wehen25125838:281041
    7Hansa Rostock251010541:281340
    8Munich 186025116840:35539
    9Ingolstadt2599744:341036
    10Mannheim251131141:46-536
    11Viktoria Koln251051036:33335
    12Stuttgart II251051032:40-835
    13Hoffenheim II25951147:45232
    14Alemannia Aachen25951142:46-432
    15Regensburg25941233:38-531
    16Saarbrucken25610933:36-328
    17Aue25591128:40-1224
    18Ulm25721633:51-1823
    19TSV Havelse25471435:55-2019
    20Schweinfurt25312121:59-3810

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