Ulm 1846 vs Osnabrück – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:5
12/12/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 18
  • Referee: Uhrig B. H. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 8
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 5
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
79
Shots on target
57
Corner Kicks
34
Yellow Cards
61
Total shots
79
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
22
Corner Kicks
34
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
811
Throw-ins
2923
Fouls
107

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Lesueur T. , Wagner F. (A),
  • 15', 0 - 2, Wiemann N. , Meissner R. (A),
  • 33', Mazagg L. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 2, Chessa D. , Dajaku L. (A),
  • 36', Dressel D. 🟨,
  • 39', Dajaku L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 47', Fabinski R. 🟨,
  • 48', 2 - 2, Besong P. , Dajaku L. (A),
  • 52', Kolle N. 🟨,
  • 56', 2 - 3, Kehl L. , Kammerbauer P. (A),
  • 58', 2 - 4, Kehl L. ,
  • 60', Brandt M. 🟨,
  • 70', Kehl L. , Proger K. ,
  • 71', Dressel D. , Loder E. ,
  • 71', Besong P. , Becker A. ,
  • 74', 2 - 5, Meissner R. , Lesueur T. (A),
  • 80', Lesueur T. , Wiethaup K. ,
  • 80', Kopacz D. , Henning B. ,
  • 81', Dajaku L. , Aksakal E. ,
  • 81', Meier J. , Gorlich L. ,
  • 83', Aksakal E. 🟨,
  • 87', 3 - 5, Loder E. , Gorlich L. (A),
  • 88', Fabinski R. , Karademir Y. ,
  • 88', Meissner R. , Ihorst L. ,
  • 90', Mazagg L. , Boller J. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Ulm 1846
29.4%
Draw
27.4%
Osnabrück
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.6% 26.2% 43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8% 25.5% 44.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • The chances for Osnabrück have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Ulm 1846 - Osnabrück Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.17
    (3.03)
    3.39
    (3.55)
    2.15
    (2.15)
    7.6%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Ulm 1846 - Osnabrück?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Ulm (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Osnabrück will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.03%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Osnabrück will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulm (votes: 1 - 20%). Osnabrück (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5).
    • Ulm has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Osnabrück has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Osnabrück will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Ulm 1846
    06.12.2025 Viktoria Köln - Ulm 1846 0:1
    29.11.2025 Ulm 1846 - 1860 München 0:1
    22.11.2025 TSV Havelse - Ulm 1846 2:1
    08.11.2025 Ulm 1846 - Hansa Rostock 0:5
    Latest results of Osnabrück
    30.11.2025 Verl - Osnabrück 4:1
    22.11.2025 Osnabrück - Ingolstadt 1:0
    15.11.2025 Bochum - Osnabrück 1:4
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck35227658:283073
    2Cottbus35199768:482066
    3RW Essen351810773:581564
    4Duisburg35189863:471663
    5Hansa Rostock351612764:422260
    6Verl351610975:472858
    7Alemannia Aachen351761266:551157
    8Munich 18603515101052:47555
    9Wehen351481349:47250
    10Mannheim351471457:65-849
    11Viktoria Koln351451648:49-147
    12Regensburg351371552:55-346
    13Ingolstadt3511101455:49643
    14Stuttgart II351271645:59-1443
    15Saarbrucken359141244:50-641
    16Hoffenheim II351171761:65-440
    17TSV Havelse35881953:77-2432
    18Ulm35952146:72-2632
    19Aue ✔ 355121842:65-2327
    20Schweinfurt ✔ 35552533:79-4620

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Aue is Relegated to
    Schweinfurt is Relegated to