Result
2:1
17/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 1
- Referee: Tantashev I. (Uzb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, Q Football Asia, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3 |
 China | iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | SportKlub 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Turkey | D Smart GO, Spor Smart 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (462/552) | 77% (257/335) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.88 | 0.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (462/552) | 77% (257/335) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (22/44) | 45% (26/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (81/130) | 68% (59/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (12/13) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.70 | 2.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.30 | 0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 44', 0 - 1, Delgado P. ⚽, Letschert T. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Marcao ↓, Erick Farias ↑,
- 46', Seo Myung-Guan ↓, Jung Seung-Hyun ↑,
- 46', Jung Woo-Young ↓, Heo Yool ↑,
- 54', Yang Shuai 🟨,
- 62', Baek In-Woo ↓, Lee Jin-Hyun ↑,
- 64', Yang Shuai ↓, Yuan Mincheng ↑,
- 64', Yang Ming-Yang ↓, Gan Chao ↑,
- 66', Lee Jae-Ik 🟨,
- 72', Lee H. ↓, Um Won-Sang ↑,
- 72', Felipe Silva ↓, Tang Chuang ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Um Won-Sang ⚽,
- 77', Letschert T. ↓, Dong Y. ↑,
- 77', Romulo ↓, Liao Rongxiang ↑,
- 83', Delgado P. 🟨,
- 90+3', Delgado P. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Heo Yool ⚽, Um Won-Sang (A),
Chances of winning
Ulsan HD
46.1% | Draw
25.7% | Chengdu Rongcheng
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Ulsan HD have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Chengdu Rongcheng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Ulsan HD - Chengdu Rongcheng Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.06) |
3.69 ↓
(3.84) |
3.35 ↑
(3.26) |
5.7%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ulsan HD - Chengdu Rongcheng?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ulsan: 47.5% – 89.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Chengdu Rongcheng (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Chengdu Rongcheng (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Ulsan (1.89) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ulsan HD will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Ulsan (votes: 9 - 75%). Chengdu Rongcheng (votes: 3 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Ulsan has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Chengdu Rongcheng is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Chengdu Rongcheng has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Ulsan is a strong favorite.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Ulsan HD won against Chengdu Rongcheng?
Ulsan HD has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chengdu Rongcheng won against Ulsan HD?
Chengdu Rongcheng has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ulsan HD - Chengdu Rongcheng were as follows:
Latest results of Ulsan HD
Latest results of Chengdu Rongcheng
AFC Champions League Table
League phaseEast | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Machida | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Buriram | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Melbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Johor DT | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Seoul | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Gangwon | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | Ulsan HD | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 4 |
West | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Hilal | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17:6 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 | 17 |
| 3 | Tractor | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22:9 | 13 | 15 |
| 5 | Al Wahda | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Al-Duhail | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Al-Sadd | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 8 |
| 9 | Al Sharjah | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 8 |
| 10 | Al-Gharafa | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:21 | -14 | 6 |
| 11 | Al Shorta | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:20 | -14 | 5 |
| 12 | Nasaf Qarshi | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
