Ulsan HD vs Chengdu Rongcheng – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football AFC Champions League Ulsan HD - Chengdu Rongcheng
Result
2:1
17/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Tantashev I. (Uzb)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, Q Football Asia, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
israelIsraelSport 1
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
russiaRussiaTV Start
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
turkeyTurkeyD Smart GO, Spor Smart 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.620.78
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
104
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
84% (462/552)77% (257/335)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.620.78
xG on target (xGOT)
2.880.70
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2315
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1613
Passes
84% (462/552)77% (257/335)
Long passes
50% (22/44)45% (26/58)
Passes in final third
62% (81/130)68% (59/87)
Crosses
31% (5/16)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.290.56
Throw-ins
2018
Fouls
1316
Tackles
92% (12/13)65% (13/20)
Duels won
5255
Clearances
2031
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
38
xGOT faced
0.702.88
Goals prevented
-0.300.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 44', 0 - 1, Delgado P. , Letschert T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Marcao , Erick Farias ,
  • 46', Seo Myung-Guan , Jung Seung-Hyun ,
  • 46', Jung Woo-Young , Heo Yool ,
  • 54', Yang Shuai 🟨,
  • 62', Baek In-Woo , Lee Jin-Hyun ,
  • 64', Yang Shuai , Yuan Mincheng ,
  • 64', Yang Ming-Yang , Gan Chao ,
  • 66', Lee Jae-Ik 🟨,
  • 72', Lee H. , Um Won-Sang ,
  • 72', Felipe Silva , Tang Chuang ,
  • 76', 1 - 1, Um Won-Sang ,
  • 77', Letschert T. , Dong Y. ,
  • 77', Romulo , Liao Rongxiang ,
  • 83', Delgado P. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Delgado P. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Heo Yool , Um Won-Sang (A),

Chances of winning


Ulsan HD
46.1%
Draw
25.7%
Chengdu Rongcheng
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 24.7% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2% 25.3% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Ulsan HD have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Chengdu Rongcheng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Ulsan HD - Chengdu Rongcheng Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.06)
    3.69
    (3.84)
    3.35
    (3.26)
    5.7%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Ulsan HD - Chengdu Rongcheng?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ulsan: 47.5%89.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ulsan (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Ulsan (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ulsan has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Chengdu Rongcheng is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Chengdu Rongcheng has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Ulsan is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Ulsan HD
    13.09.2025 Pohang Steelers - Ulsan HD 1:1
    24.08.2025 FC Seoul - Ulsan HD 3:2
    16.08.2025 Suwon - Ulsan HD 4:2
    09.08.2025 Ulsan HD - Jeju 1:0
    Latest results of Chengdu Rongcheng
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe11003:033
    2Sanfrecce Hiroshima11002:023
    3Buriram11002:113
    4Ulsan HD11002:113
    5Gangwon11002:113
    6Seoul10101:101
    7Machida10101:101
    8Shanghai Shenhua10011:2-10
    9Johor DT10011:2-10
    10Chengdu Rongcheng10011:2-10
    11Melbourne City10010:2-20
    12Shanghai Port10010:3-30


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Ahli SC11004:223
    2Al Sharjah11004:313
    3Al Wahda11002:113
    4Al Hilal11002:113
    5Al-Sadd10101:101
    6Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai10101:101
    7Al Shorta10101:101
    8Tractor10101:101
    9Al-Gharafa10013:4-10
    10Al Ittihad10011:2-10
    11Al-Duhail10011:2-10
    12Nasaf Qarshi10012:4-20

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