Ulsan HD vs Chengdu Rongcheng – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
17/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Tantashev I. (Uzb)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, Q Football Asia, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
israelIsraelSport 1
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
russiaRussiaTV Start
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
turkeyTurkeyD Smart GO, Spor Smart 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.620.78
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
104
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
84% (462/552)77% (257/335)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.620.78
xG on target (xGOT)
2.880.70
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2315
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1613
Passes
84% (462/552)77% (257/335)
Long passes
50% (22/44)45% (26/58)
Passes in final third
62% (81/130)68% (59/87)
Crosses
31% (5/16)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.290.56
Throw-ins
2018
Fouls
1316
Tackles
92% (12/13)65% (13/20)
Duels won
5255
Clearances
2031
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
38
xGOT faced
0.702.88
Goals prevented
-0.300.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 44', 0 - 1, Delgado P. , Letschert T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Marcao , Erick Farias ,
  • 46', Seo Myung-Guan , Jung Seung-Hyun ,
  • 46', Jung Woo-Young , Heo Yool ,
  • 54', Yang Shuai 🟨,
  • 62', Baek In-Woo , Lee Jin-Hyun ,
  • 64', Yang Shuai , Yuan Mincheng ,
  • 64', Yang Ming-Yang , Gan Chao ,
  • 66', Lee Jae-Ik 🟨,
  • 72', Lee H. , Um Won-Sang ,
  • 72', Felipe Silva , Tang Chuang ,
  • 76', 1 - 1, Um Won-Sang ,
  • 77', Letschert T. , Dong Y. ,
  • 77', Romulo , Liao Rongxiang ,
  • 83', Delgado P. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Delgado P. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Heo Yool , Um Won-Sang (A),

Chances of winning


Ulsan HD
46.1%
Draw
25.7%
Chengdu Rongcheng
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 24.7% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2% 25.3% 28.4%

Ulsan HD - Chengdu Rongcheng Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.05
(2.06)
3.69
(3.84)
3.35
(3.26)
5.7%
(5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ulsan HD - Chengdu Rongcheng?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ulsan: 47.5%89.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ulsan (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Ulsan (1.89) (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ulsan has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Chengdu Rongcheng is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Chengdu Rongcheng has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Ulsan is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Ulsan HD
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    Latest results of Chengdu Rongcheng
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe540110:4612
    2Melbourne City53026:519
    3Seoul52217:438
    4Machida52217:438
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima52215:328
    6Ulsan HD52214:318
    7Johor DT52126:517
    8Buriram52125:6-17
    9Gangwon52037:9-26
    10Chengdu Rongcheng51223:5-25
    11Shanghai Shenhua51135:8-34
    12Shanghai Port50142:11-91


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal ✔ 550014:5915
    2Al Wahda ✔ 541010:4613
    3Tractor53208:1711
    4Al Ahli SC531112:6610
    5Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai53119:6310
    6Al-Duhail521212:1027
    7Al Sharjah52126:12-67
    8Al Ittihad520310:826
    9Al-Gharafa51046:12-63
    10Al-Sadd50235:10-52
    11Al Shorta50142:12-101
    12Nasaf Qarshi50056:14-80

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Al Hilal is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Wahda is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)