Umeå vs Örgryte – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swedish Superettan Umeå - Örgryte
Result
3:3
26/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Superettan - Round 10
  • Referee: Buqa F. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, max Extra 6, Max, TV4 Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
510
Corner Kicks
33
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
510
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
33
Goalkeeper Saves
72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Christoffersson N. , Mujanic A. (A),
  • 21', Hedenquist J. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Yeboah E. , Vikgren L. (A),
  • 43', 2 - 1, Bjorgolfsson E. , Vikgren L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Azulay J. , Keita M. ,
  • 46', Andreasson A. , Svensson W. ,
  • 50', Persson D. 🟨,
  • 63', Dyrestam M. 🟨,
  • 66', 2 - 2, Christoffersson N. , Mujanic A. (A),
  • 69', Persson D. , Ekman D. ,
  • 69', Marklund L. , Martiatu Nordeman A. ,
  • 69', Paulson D. , Barkroth N. ,
  • 72', 2 - 3, Christoffersson N. , Vindehall C. (A),
  • 75', Bjorgolfsson E. 🟨,
  • 79', Mujanic A. 🟨,
  • 80', Keita M. 🟨,
  • 80', Bjorgolfsson E. , Voilas J. ,
  • 80', Lindmark S. , Hedstrom J. ,
  • 83', 3 - 3, Voilas J. , Vikgren L. (A),
  • 87', Vindehall C. , Kenndal W. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Umeå
21.7%
Draw
23.4%
Örgryte
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.9% 26.2% 39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6% 25.9% 40.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Umeå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Umeå's form might have worsened.
  • Örgryte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Örgryte's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Umeå, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Örgryte than the current prediction. (-14.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Örgryte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Umeå - Örgryte Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.34
    (2.78)
    3.97
    (3.6)
    1.7
    (2.36)
    7%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Umeå - Örgryte?
  • Users Predictions: Örgryte will win (29 of 33 users predict this - 87.88%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.74%99.02%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Örgryte will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4).
    • Umeå has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Örgryte is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Örgryte may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Örgryte is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Örgryte will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Umeå won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Umeå won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    Latest results of Umeå
    22.05.2025 Kalmar - Umeå 2:0
    17.05.2025 Umeå - Utsikten 1:3
    10.05.2025 Umeå - Kubikensborgs 1:2
    10.05.2025 Sandviken - Umeå 2:1
    03.05.2025 Umeå - Landskrona 0:2
    Latest results of Örgryte
    21.05.2025 Örgryte - Sandviken 4:0
    16.05.2025 Örgryte - Varbergs BoIS 5:1
    12.05.2025 Landskrona - Örgryte 1:1
    04.05.2025 Örgryte - Falkenberg 4:2
    26.04.2025 Östersund - Örgryte 2:1
    Swedish Superettan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orgryte1584332:181428
    2Kalmar1577127:141328
    3Oddevold1683523:20327
    4Vasteras SK1575324:19526
    5Sundsvall1675420:15526
    6Varberg1574424:18625
    7Sandviken1673619:23-424
    8Helsingborg1564521:19222
    9Landskrona1564524:25-122
    10Falkenberg1556425:21421
    11Ostersund1555520:19120
    12Brage1647523:25-219
    13Utsikten1538426:25117
    14Trelleborg1534811:22-1113
    15Orebro16061016:31-156
    16Umea FC16051113:34-215

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