Sundsvall vs Umeå – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swedish Superettan Sundsvall - Umeå
Result
3:1
29/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Superettan - Round 25
  • Referee: Olofsson T. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, TV4 Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1518
Shots on target
1212
Corner Kicks
22
Yellow Cards
02
Total shots
1518
Shots on target
1212
Shots off target
36
Corner Kicks
22
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
2011
Throw-ins
2114

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Marklund L. 🟨,
  • 33', Palomino M. (Pen),
  • 45', 1 - 0, Engblom P. , Kagayama T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 61', Marklund L. , Voilas J. ,
  • 61', Yeboah E. , Hedstrom J. ,
  • 67', Bjornler J. , Sandberg M. ,
  • 67', Engblom P. , Carlos ,
  • 72', Westin T. 🟨,
  • 74', Gronborg T. , Cederblad E. ,
  • 79', Sandberg T. , Olsson D. ,
  • 83', 1 - 1, Olsson T. , Voilas J. (A),
  • 84', Palomino M. , Finey Y. ,
  • 84', Tammivuori S. , Jelassi M. ,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Carlos , Bahtijar A. (A),
  • 88', Olsson T. , Haga M. H. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 1, Carlos , Finey Y. (A),

Chances of winning


Sundsvall
48%
Draw
26.1%
Umeå
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 24.2% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 22.9% 22%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sundsvall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sundsvall's form might have worsened.
  • Umeå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Umeå's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sundsvall than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Sundsvall - Umeå Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.71)
    3.58
    (3.9)
    3.69
    (4.54)
    6.2%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Sundsvall - Umeå?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sundsvall (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Sundsvall will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sundsvall won 4.
    • Recent form of Sundsvall has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Umeå is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Sundsvall may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Sundsvall is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sundsvall won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sundsvall won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sundsvall - Umeå were as follows:
    14.06.2025 Umeå - Sundsvall 0:1
    Latest results of Sundsvall
    24.09.2025 Brage - Sundsvall 0:1
    19.09.2025 Falkenberg - Sundsvall 3:0
    13.09.2025 Sundsvall - Varbergs BoIS 2:3
    30.08.2025 Landskrona - Sundsvall 2:1
    25.08.2025 Sundsvall - Oddevold 0:1
    Latest results of Umeå
    25.09.2025 Umeå - Västerås SK 1:2
    19.09.2025 Östersund - Umeå 3:0
    15.09.2025 Örgryte - Umeå 3:1
    31.08.2025 Umeå - Oddevold 0:2
    25.08.2025 Örebro - Umeå 1:1
    Swedish Superettan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kalmar271610147:192858
    2Vasteras SK27175555:292656
    3Orgryte27167456:282855
    4Oddevold27137739:30946
    5Falkenberg27119750:331742
    6Varberg27119741:34742
    7Sundsvall271151134:34038
    8Helsingborg271071035:34137
    9Landskrona271071034:40-637
    10Brage27881142:47-532
    11Ostersund27881131:46-1532
    12Sandviken27951326:45-1932
    13Utsikten27791143:44-130
    14Trelleborg27551721:47-2620
    15Orebro27391535:50-1518
    16Umea FC27361823:52-2915

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