Result
0:1
11/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 21
- Referee: Al Marri K. (Qat)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
Qatar | Al Kass Five, Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (408/492) | 66% (133/203) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (408/492) | 66% (133/203) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (31/67) | 45% (27/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (81/123) | 52% (40/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.46 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 80% (16/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 46 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 13 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', Essien E. 🟨,
- 37', Naim Y. ↓, Badredlin M. ↑,
- 41', 0 - 1, Mance A. (Pen),
- 45+1', Yansane S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Badji L. ↓, Ashour L. ↑,
- 46', Mansour H. ↓, Moustafa A. ↑,
- 58', Mance A. 🟨,
- 60', Al Sulimane A. 🟨,
- 63', Doumbia I. 🟨,
- 75', Gorre K. ↓, Issa S. ↑,
- 84', Fayez A. 🟨,
- 84', Mohammed J. ↓, Bahzad T. ↑,
- 90+1', Doumbia I. 🟨,
- 90+3', Al Muhannadi A. ↓, Al Zereiqi K. ↑,
- 90+5', Al Sulimane A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Ahli Doha 51.6% | Draw 23.9% | Umm-Salal 24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ahli Doha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Ahli Doha's performance.Umm-Salal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Doha than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umm-Salal than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Al-Ahli Doha - Umm-Salal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.78 ↓ (2) |
3.86 ↑ (3.8) |
3.75 ↑ (3.17) |
8.7% (7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 and 11 in the zone QSL (Relegation)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Ahli Doha won 1.
- Recent matches Al-Ahli Doha is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Umm-Salal has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Al-Ahli Doha will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Al-Ahli Doha won 9 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 26:18 (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Al-Ahli Doha won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:8 (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Doha won against Umm-Salal?
Al-Ahli Doha has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Umm-Salal won against Al-Ahli Doha?
Umm-Salal has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ahli Doha - Umm-Salal were as follows:
23.11.2024
Umm-Salal
-
Al-Ahli Doha
0:3
29.02.2024
Al-Ahli Doha
-
Umm-Salal
1:2
02.01.2024
Umm-Salal
-
Al-Ahli Doha
2:0
15.10.2023
Al-Ahli Doha
-
Umm-Salal
1:1
23.09.2023
Umm-Salal
-
Al-Ahli Doha
3:1
Latest results of Al-Ahli Doha
Latest results of Umm-Salal
Qatar QSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Qatar SC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 | Al-Gharafa | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Shamal | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Al Rayyan | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Al-Duhail | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:6 | 9 | 11 |
| 6 | Al Wakra | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:13 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Al-Sadd | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Al Arabi | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:22 | -10 | 7 |
| 9 | Al Sailiya | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 10 | Umm-Salal | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | Al Ahli Doha | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 6 |
| 12 | Al-Shahaniya | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:8 | -5 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
QSL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 2