Result
0:3
29/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 11
- Referee: Al Ruwaili A. (Qat)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA |
 Qatar | Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (511/569) | 71% (164/230) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (511/569) | 71% (164/230) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (37/61) | 30% (11/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (98/127) | 51% (32/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.79 | 0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Mohammed K. 🟨,
- 19', Mohammed H. 🟨,
- 40', Radwan K. 🟨,
- 45+1', Vlap M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 58', 0 - 1, Tannane O. ⚽,
- 64', 0 - 2, Cristo ⚽, Fayez A. (A),
- 66', Al Shammari M. ↓, Mansour K. ↑,
- 67', Mohammed K. ↓, Mansour H. ↑,
- 67', Amraoui A. ↓, Exposito E. ↑,
- 67', Al Nasr N. ↓, Al Ishaq M. ↑,
- 69', Tannane O. ↓, Mance A. ↑,
- 73', 0 - 3, Mance A. ⚽, Baidoo M. (A),
- 77', Udosen E. ↓, Saad K. ↑,
- 78', Aholou J. ↓, Kouassi J. E. ↑,
- 82', El Sayed A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Ahli Doha
50.9% | Draw
23.7% | Umm-Salal
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Al-Ahli Doha - Umm-Salal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(1.95) |
3.9 ↑
(3.89) |
3.65 ↑
(3.24) |
8.2%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Al-Ahli Doha - Umm-Salal?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ahli Doha (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Al-Ahli Doha will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli Doha won 1.
- Al-Ahli Doha is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Umm-Salal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Umm-Salal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Al-Ahli Doha could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli Doha won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:19. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ahli Doha won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Doha won against Umm-Salal?
Al-Ahli Doha has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Umm-Salal won against Al-Ahli Doha?
Umm-Salal has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ahli Doha - Umm-Salal were as follows:
11.04.2025
Al-Ahli Doha
-
Umm-Salal
0:1
23.11.2024
Umm-Salal
-
Al-Ahli Doha
0:3
29.02.2024
Al-Ahli Doha
-
Umm-Salal
1:2
02.01.2024
Umm-Salal
-
Al-Ahli Doha
2:0
15.10.2023
Al-Ahli Doha
-
Umm-Salal
1:1
Latest results of Al-Ahli Doha
Latest results of Umm-Salal
Qatar QSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Gharafa | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 20:13 | 7 | 25 |
| 2 | Shamal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Al-Sadd | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 28:14 | 14 | 20 |
| 4 | Al Rayyan | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24:18 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Qatar SC | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 | Al Arabi | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22:25 | -3 | 17 |
| 7 | Al Wakra | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 8 | Al-Duhail | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 21:14 | 7 | 15 |
| 9 | Al Ahli Doha | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 12 |
| 10 | Umm-Salal | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 20:32 | -12 | 9 |
| 11 | Al Sailiya | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 8 |
| 12 | Al-Shahaniya | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7:19 | -12 | 7 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
QSL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 2
