Umm-Salal vs Al-Rayyan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
22/11/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • QSL - Round 10
  • Referee: Al Mazeed M. A. (Qat)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
qatarQatarShoof

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.732.40
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
1423
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
48
Passes
72% (186/259)86% (401/466)
Yellow Cards
53
Expected Goals (xG)
0.732.40
xG on target (xGOT)
1.502.19
Total shots
1423
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
311
Blocked Shots
56
Shots inside the Box
518
Shots outside the Box
95
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
1138
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1518
Passes
72% (186/259)86% (401/466)
Long passes
36% (21/59)38% (15/39)
Passes in final third
59% (46/78)74% (97/131)
Crosses
8% (1/12)38% (8/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.251.80
Throw-ins
1319
Fouls
1815
Tackles
75% (12/16)79% (11/14)
Duels won
5258
Clearances
2519
Interceptions
313
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
2.191.50
Goals prevented
1.190.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', Laidouni N. 🟨,
  • 11', Mance A. 🟨,
  • 15', 0 - 1, Fayez A. (Own goal),
  • 31', Garcia D. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 1, Tannane O. ,
  • 45+2', Yousif A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', Fayez A. 🟨,
  • 55', 1 - 2, Alaaeldin A. , Wesley (A),
  • 58', Garcia D. , Amaro A. ,
  • 65', Amaro A. 🟨,
  • 65', Tannane O. 🟨,
  • 74', Gabriel Pereira , Hatem A. ,
  • 81', Said F. , Al Shammari M. ,
  • 81', Issa S. , El Sayed A. ,
  • 81', Kouassi J. E. , Aholou J. ,
  • 89', Alaaeldin A. , Moustafa Asar ,
  • 89', Tiago Silva , Gaber J. ,
  • 90+2', Al Shammari M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Umm-Salal
16.6%
Draw
18.1%
Al-Rayyan
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.6% 19.1% 63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8% 18.2% 66.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Umm-Salal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Al-Rayyan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umm-Salal than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Rayyan than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Umm-Salal - Al-Rayyan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.53
    (5.22)
    5.08
    (4.83)
    1.41
    (1.45)
    8.7%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Umm-Salal - Al-Rayyan?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone QSL (Relegation) and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Umm-Salal won 1.
    • Umm-Salal has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Al-Rayyan is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Al-Rayyan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Umm-Salal has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Al-Rayyan has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Al-Rayyan is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Umm-Salal won 4 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:37. (average 1.3:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Umm-Salal won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:23. (average 1.2:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Umm-Salal - Al-Rayyan were as follows:
    10.01.2025 Umm-Salal - Al-Rayyan 2:6
    16.11.2024 Umm-Salal - Al-Rayyan 2:0
    09.08.2024 Al-Rayyan - Umm-Salal 3:1
    12.03.2024 Al-Rayyan - Umm-Salal 2:2
    21.10.2023 Umm-Salal - Al-Rayyan 0:2
    Latest results of Umm-Salal
    16.11.2025 Umm-Salal - Al-Wakrah 3:1
    08.11.2025 Umm-Salal - Al-Sadd 3:8
    01.11.2025 Umm-Salal - Al-Shamal 0:5
    29.10.2025 Umm-Salal - Muaither 2:3
    26.10.2025 Qatar SC - Umm-Salal 2:1
    Latest results of Al-Rayyan
    14.11.2025 Al-Sailiya - Al-Rayyan 1:4
    09.11.2025 Al-Shahania - Al-Rayyan 1:5
    30.10.2025 Al-Sadd - Al-Rayyan 5:1
    28.10.2025 Al Duhail - Al-Rayyan 1:3
    Qatar QSL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al-Sadd17122346:192738
    2Al-Gharafa17111529:23634
    3Shamal1694329:181131
    4Al Rayyan1784535:28728
    5Qatar SC1673627:26124
    6Al Arabi1673630:32-224
    7Al Wakra1765625:26-123
    8Al-Duhail1756627:21621
    9Umm-Salal17511129:45-1616
    10Al Sailiya1643916:23-715
    11Al Ahli Doha17501222:37-1515
    12Al-Shahaniya17421115:32-1714

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          QSL (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Division 2