Result
0:1
20/02/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA |
 Qatar | Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.02 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (299/363) | 72% (208/288) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (299/363) | 72% (208/288) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (36/63) | 44% (29/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (82/123) | 60% (38/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.58 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Cristo ⚽, Fayez A. (A),
- 45', Udosen E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 48', Al Bistamy M. 🟨,
- 65', Mahmoud A. 🟨,
- 67', Fayez A. ↓, Saad K. ↑,
- 67', El Sayed A. ↓, Said F. ↑,
- 68', Holgate M. ↓, Haoot A. Y. ↑,
- 74', Mance A. ↓, Kouassi J. E. ↑,
- 83', Said F. 🟨,
- 85', Aholou J. ↓, Mahdi Al Mejaba ↑,
- 85', Cristo ↓, Baidoo M. ↑,
- 86', Al Bistamy M. ↓, Anani Y. Z. ↑,
- 86', Tabasideh H. ↓, Al Sufiani S. ↑,
- 87', Laidouni N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Sailiya
33.5% | Draw
26.2% | Umm-Salal
40.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Sailiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Sailiya's form might have worsened.Umm-Salal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Umm-Salal's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Sailiya than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Sailiya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umm-Salal than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Umm-Salal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Sailiya - Umm-Salal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.77 ↑
(2.38) |
3.54 ↓
(3.56) |
2.3 ↓
(2.67) |
7.8%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Al-Sailiya - Umm-Salal?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Umm-Salal (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Umm-Salal (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Umm-Salal will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Umm-Salal (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 and 11 in the zone QSL (Relegation))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Sailiya won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Al-Sailiya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Sailiya won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Sailiya won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Sailiya won against Umm-Salal?
Al-Sailiya has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Umm-Salal won against Al-Sailiya?
Umm-Salal has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Sailiya - Umm-Salal were as follows:
04.10.2025
Umm-Salal
-
Al-Sailiya
3:1
21.09.2025
Umm-Salal
-
Al-Sailiya
2:1
13.02.2023
Al-Sailiya
-
Umm-Salal
1:1
14.10.2022
Umm-Salal
-
Al-Sailiya
1:1
24.08.2022
Umm-Salal
-
Al-Sailiya
1:0
Latest results of Al-Sailiya
Latest results of Umm-Salal
Qatar QSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Sadd | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 46:19 | 27 | 38 |
| 2 | Al-Gharafa | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 29:23 | 6 | 34 |
| 3 | Shamal | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 29:18 | 11 | 31 |
| 4 | Al Rayyan | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 35:28 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | Qatar SC | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27:26 | 1 | 24 |
| 6 | Al Arabi | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 30:32 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 | Al Wakra | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | Al-Duhail | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 21 |
| 9 | Umm-Salal | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 29:45 | -16 | 16 |
| 10 | Al Sailiya | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16:23 | -7 | 15 |
| 11 | Al Ahli Doha | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
| 12 | Al-Shahaniya | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 14 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
QSL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 2
