Result
4:2
17/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 26
- Referee: Ozturk U. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.57 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (250/326) | 82% (338/413) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.95 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (250/326) | 82% (338/413) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (21/57) | 57% (46/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (61/90) | 67% (83/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 21% (5/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 93% (14/15) | 88% (14/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 2.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | -1.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', 1 - 0, Soukou C. ⚽, Bardhi J. (A),
- 42', Lico D. 🟨,
- 45', Soukou C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 46', Balburdia M. ↓, Senyurt D. ↑,
- 48', Akkan G. 🟨,
- 49', 2 - 0, Celik B. ⚽,
- 56', 3 - 0, Babacan A. ⚽,
- 60', Davas D. ↓, Dikbasan E. ↑,
- 60', Akanbi R. ↓, Baluta A. ↑,
- 65', 4 - 0, Soukou C. ⚽, Djokanovic A. (A),
- 70', Bardhi J. ↓, Goksu S. ↑,
- 70', Soukou C. ↓, Ekincier B. ↑,
- 72', Lico D. ↓, Aganspahic A. ↑,
- 74', Bulbul A. T. 🟨,
- 76', 4 - 1, Lima L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 81', Artan O. 🟨,
- 83', Babacan A. ↓, Hoti E. ↑,
- 83', Benny ↓, Sas Y. D. ↑,
- 88', Celik B. ↓, Kosoko T. ↑,
- 89', 4 - 2, Kocaturk Y. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Umraniyespor
33.9% | Draw
28.4% | Boluspor
37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Umraniyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Umraniyespor's performance.Boluspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boluspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boluspor than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Umraniyespor - Boluspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↓
(3.19) |
3.23 ↓
(3.45) |
2.45 ↑
(2.05) |
8.6%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Umraniyespor - Boluspor?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Umraniyespor will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Boluspor will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boluspor: 23.1% – 88.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Umraniyespor won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Umraniyespor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Umraniyespor: Oksuz B.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Boluspor: Oztonga O.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Umraniyespor: Yildirim O.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Umraniyespor won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Umraniyespor won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Umraniyespor won against Boluspor?
Umraniyespor has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boluspor won against Umraniyespor?
Boluspor has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Umraniyespor - Boluspor were as follows:
23.09.2025
Boluspor
-
Umraniyespor
0:1
15.03.2025
Umraniyespor
-
Boluspor
1:0
01.11.2024
Boluspor
-
Umraniyespor
3:0
13.04.2024
Boluspor
-
Umraniyespor
1:0
25.11.2023
Umraniyespor
-
Boluspor
1:2
Latest results of Umraniyespor
Latest results of Boluspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 74:23 | 51 | 69 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 68:32 | 36 | 67 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 73:30 | 43 | 63 |
| 4 | Corum | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 53:34 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 67:35 | 32 | 57 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 54 |
| 7 | Bandirmaspor | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 63:40 | 23 | 47 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Igdir FK | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 40:44 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | Vanspor FK | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:35 | 7 | 43 |
| 12 | Manisa FK | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 43 |
| 13 | Boluspor | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:44 | 6 | 42 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 39 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 34:41 | -7 | 39 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor AS | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 38:60 | -22 | 35 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 41:56 | -15 | 32 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 32 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 22:88 | -66 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 32 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 17:141 | -124 | -57 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
