Result
 
                    1:3
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        17/10/2025 at  13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  1. Lig - Round 10
- Referee: Demirbas A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Asia | TOD | 
|  Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.59 | 2.96 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 34% | 66% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 8 | 17 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 9 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 6 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 77% (250/324) | 90% (570/630) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.59 | 2.96 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.73 | 3.23 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 8 | 17 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 9 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 1 | 5 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 11 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 5 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 6 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 6 | 32 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 12 | 7 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 77% (250/324) | 90% (570/630) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 37% (18/49) | 60% (36/60) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 54% (40/74) | 74% (102/138) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 27% (7/26) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.04 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 14 | 17 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 7 | 12 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 77% (10/13) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 38 | 43 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 34 | 25 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 13 | 11 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 6 | 3 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 3.23 | 0.73 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.23 | -0.27 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', Benny 🟨, 
- 30', 0 - 1, Dembele P. M. (Pen), 
- 39', Bayram O. 🟨, 
- 43', 1 - 1, Benny ⚽, 
- 45+2', Benny 🟥, 
- 45+3', Yildirim O. 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Ozdemir T. ↓, Soukou C. ↑, 
- 61', 1 - 2, Dembele P. M. ⚽, Aydogmus B. (A), 
- 68', 1 - 3, Babacar K. ⚽, Camara M. (A), 
- 69', Celik B. ↓, Babacan A. ↑, 
- 69', Babacar K. ↓, Urie A. ↑, 
- 78', Camara M. ↓, Mert M. ↑, 
- 78', Anziani J. ↓, Sol O. ↑, 
- 79', Aydogmus B. 🟨, 
- 79', Ekincier B. ↓, Kosoko T. ↑, 
- 79', Kocaturk Y. ↓, Yilmaz Y. ↑, 
- 82', Glumac T. 🟨, 
- 85', Bayram O. ↓, Korkmazoglu E. ↑, 
- 85', Berber O. ↓, Yilmaz O. ↑, 
- 90+4', Urie A. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Umraniyespor 29.3%
 | Draw 28.1%
 | Sarıyer 42.6%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Umraniyespor - Sarıyer Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 3.18 ↑ (2.86)
 | 3.29 ↑ (3.18)
 | 2.2 ↓ (2.47)
 | 7.4% (7%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Umraniyespor - Sarıyer?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            10 users predict this event. Umraniyespor will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Sarıyer will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Sarıyer: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Umraniyespor (votes: 1 - 25%). Sarıyer (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Sarıyer (1.86) (votes: 4 - 100%). 
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.  
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Umraniyespor: Kaplan E.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Sarıyer: Eksioglu B.
(Inactive)
Traore H.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Umraniyespor: Bardhi J.
(Injury)
Bulbul A. T.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Umraniyespor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Umraniyespor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Umraniyespor won against Sarıyer?
                    
                    
                        
                            Umraniyespor has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Sarıyer won against Umraniyespor?
                    
                    
                        
                             Sarıyer has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Umraniyespor - Sarıyer were as follows:
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Umraniyespor                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Sarıyer                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Turkish First League Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Bodrumspor | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 27:9 | 18 | 24 | 
| 2 | Pendikspor | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 23:9 | 14 | 22 | 
| 3 | Erzurumspor | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 22:10 | 12 | 22 | 
| 4 | Corum | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 22 | 
| 5 | Erokspor | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 28:12 | 16 | 21 | 
| 6 | Amedspor | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 20 | 
| 7 | Igdir FK | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 18 | 
| 8 | Vanspor FK | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 17 | 
| 9 | Sakaryaspor | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 17 | 
| 10 | Bandirmaspor | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 16 | 
| 11 | Sivasspor | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 | 
| 12 | Boluspor | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 14 | 
| 13 | Istanbulspor AS | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 | 
| 14 | Serik Spor | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:18 | -9 | 13 | 
| 15 | Keciorengucu | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 | 
| 16 | Manisa FK | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 | 
| 17 | Sariyer | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:15 | -5 | 8 | 
| 18 | Umraniyespor | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 8 | 
| 19 | Hatayspor | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11:33 | -22 | 4 | 
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6:44 | -38 | -17 | 
      Promotion ~ Super Lig
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      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Relegation