Result
3:2
02/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Leagues Cup - Round 2
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Usa | MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC |
World | Apple TV |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
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| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
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| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
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| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (353/404) | 90% (457/505) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 3.33 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
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| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
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| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 25 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
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| 5 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
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| 87% (353/404) | 90% (457/505) |
| Long passes |
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| 62% (23/37) | 57% (21/37) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 81% (109/134) | 84% (135/160) |
| Crosses |
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| 28% (5/18) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.74 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 14 | 12 |
| Fouls |
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| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
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| 50% (5/10) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
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| 25 | 33 |
| Clearances |
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| 12 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.21 | 3.33 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.21 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 23', 1 - 0, Angulo A. (Pen),
- 30', Hernandez R. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 1, Navas K. (Own goal),
- 39', Gregersen S. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 2, Latte Lath E. ⚽, Lobjanidze S. (A),
- 45', Carrasquilla A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 52', Lopez R. ↓, Quispe Cordova P. A. ↑,
- 59', Bennevendo P. ↓, Monroy P. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 2, Carrasquilla A. ⚽, Quispe Cordova P. A. (A),
- 70', Lobjanidze S. ↓, Brennan L. ↑,
- 70', Muyumba T. ↓, Reilly W. ↑,
- 70', Mihaj E. ↓, Thiare J. ↑,
- 70', Latte Lath E. ↓, Sessock N. ↑,
- 81', Gregersen S. ↓, Togashi C. ↑,
- 86', Sessock N. 🟨,
- 88', Carrasquilla A. (Pen),
- 89', 3 - 2, Carrasquilla A. ⚽,
- 90+3', Martinez G. 🟨,
- 90+3', Martinez G. ↓, Torres Berlanga M. G. ↑,
- 90+3', Vite P. ↓, Trigos S. ↑,
- 90+6', Navas K. 🟥,
- 90+14', Slisz B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
UNAM 47.3% | Draw 25.5% | Atlanta United 27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UNAM's performance.Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlanta United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-10.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UNAM that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlanta United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
UNAM - Atlanta United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.99 ↓ (2.6) |
3.66 ↑ (3.41) |
3.42 ↑ (2.53) |
6.9% (7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for UNAM - Atlanta United?
Users Predictions:
UNAM will win
(19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): UNAM will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- UNAM has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Atlanta has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- UNAM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- UNAM could have a small edge in this match.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Atlanta United?
UNAM has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlanta United won against UNAM?
Atlanta United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UNAM - Atlanta United were as follows:
Latest results of Atlanta United
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Los Angeles Galaxy | Pachuca | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Seattle Sounders | Puebla | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Tigres UANL | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Toluca | Orlando City | 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Los Angeles Galaxy | Seattle Sounders | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Seattle Sounders | Inter Miami | 3 : 0 |
3rd place| 2 | Los Angeles Galaxy | Orlando City | 2 : 1 |