UNAM vs Atlanta United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football CONCACAF League Cup UNAM - Atlanta United
Result
3:2
02/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Leagues Cup - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldApple TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.181.01
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
87% (353/404)90% (457/505)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.181.01
xG on target (xGOT)
3.331.21
Total shots
127
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2513
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
54
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
87% (353/404)90% (457/505)
Long passes
62% (23/37)57% (21/37)
Passes in final third
81% (109/134)84% (135/160)
Crosses
28% (5/18)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.691.74
Throw-ins
1412
Fouls
1210
Tackles
50% (5/10)54% (7/13)
Duels won
2533
Clearances
1223
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.213.33
Goals prevented
0.210.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Angulo A. (Pen),
  • 30', Hernandez R. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 1, Navas K. (Own goal),
  • 39', Gregersen S. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 2, Latte Lath E. , Lobjanidze S. (A),
  • 45', Carrasquilla A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 52', Lopez R. , Quispe Cordova P. A. ,
  • 59', Bennevendo P. , Monroy P. ,
  • 62', 2 - 2, Carrasquilla A. , Quispe Cordova P. A. (A),
  • 70', Lobjanidze S. , Brennan L. ,
  • 70', Muyumba T. , Reilly W. ,
  • 70', Mihaj E. , Thiare J. ,
  • 70', Latte Lath E. , Sessock N. ,
  • 81', Gregersen S. , Togashi C. ,
  • 86', Sessock N. 🟨,
  • 88', Carrasquilla A. (Pen),
  • 89', 3 - 2, Carrasquilla A. ,
  • 90+3', Martinez G. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Martinez G. , Torres Berlanga M. G. ,
  • 90+3', Vite P. , Trigos S. ,
  • 90+6', Navas K. 🟥,
  • 90+14', Slisz B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


UNAM
47.3%
Draw
25.5%
Atlanta United
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 27.3% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 26.9% 36.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UNAM's performance.
  • Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlanta United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UNAM that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlanta United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • UNAM - Atlanta United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.6)
    3.66
    (3.41)
    3.42
    (2.53)
    6.9%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for UNAM - Atlanta United?
  • Users Predictions: UNAM will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.12%98.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): UNAM will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • UNAM has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Atlanta has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • UNAM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • UNAM could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of UNAM
    30.07.2025 UNAM - Orlando City 2:1
    25.07.2025 Querétaro - UNAM 0:2
    20.07.2025 UNAM - Pachuca 2:3
    12.07.2025 Santos Laguna - UNAM 3:0
    06.07.2025 UNAM - Leganés 2:0
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    CONCACAF League Cup Table
    2025

    Liga MX
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Tigres UANL220006:26
    2Juarez211006:35
    3Mazatlan FC211003:15
    4Toluca211004:35
    5UNAM Pumas211004:35
    6Necaxa210105:34
    7Pachuca210104:34
    8Puebla210014:33
    9Club America201105:53
    10Club Tijuana210014:63
    11Monterrey201013:42
    12Guadalajara Chivas201012:32
    13Atl. San Luis201012:62
    14Cruz Azul201011:82
    15Club Leon200111:31
    16Santos Laguna200022:40
    17Atlas200022:50
    18Queretaro200021:50


    MLS
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Seattle Sounders220009:16
    2Portland Timbers220005:06
    3Inter Miami211004:35
    4Los Angeles Galaxy210106:34
    5Minnesota United210107:44
    6Columbus Crew210105:34
    7Orlando City210104:24
    8New York Red Bulls210102:14
    9FC Cincinnati210105:44
    10Real Salt Lake201104:43
    11Colorado Rapids210013:33
    12Los Angeles FC201102:23
    13New York City210012:33
    14CF Montreal201012:32
    15Charlotte200113:61
    16San Diego FC200023:50
    17Atlanta Utd200023:60
    18Houston Dynamo200021:60

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