Result
2:0
04/05/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Play In - Final
- Referee: Escobedo Gonzalez A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (476/532) | 80% (252/316) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (476/532) | 80% (252/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (25/39) | 51% (25/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (80/113) | 61% (34/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (9/24) | 58% (7/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (11/11) | 56% (15/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
- 41', Reyes L. 🟨,
- 45', Carrasquilla A. ↓, Pussetto I. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Cortizo J. ↓, Canales S. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 0, Berterame G. ⚽, Ocampos L. (A),
- 63', Trigos S. ↓, Quispe Cordova P. A. ↑,
- 63', Monroy P. ↓, Ruvalcaba J. ↑,
- 68', Ocampos L. ↓, Torres O. ↑,
- 68', Corona J. ↓, de la Rosa R. ↑,
- 69', Ruvalcaba J. 🟨,
- 75', Reyes L. ↓, Arteaga G. ↑,
- 75', Rodriguez J. ↓, Ambriz F. ↑,
- 76', Ruvalcaba J. 🟨,
- 80', Suarez L. ↓, Avila A. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 0, Deossa N. ⚽, Berterame G. (A),
- 90+1', Funes Mori R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Arteaga G. 🟨,
- 90+3', Nathan Silva 🟨,
Chances of winning
Monterrey
52.2% | Draw
27% | UNAM
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monterrey's performance.UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UNAM might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monterrey that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UNAM could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Monterrey - UNAM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↓
(2.1) |
3.48 ↑
(3.25) |
4.46 ↑
(3.5) |
6%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Monterrey - UNAM?
Users Predictions:
Monterrey will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Monterrey will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- UNAM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Monterrey is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:15. (average 1.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monterrey won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 20:5. (average 1.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Monterrey won against UNAM?
Monterrey has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Monterrey?
UNAM has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monterrey - UNAM were as follows:
01.12.2024
UNAM
-
Monterrey
3:5
28.11.2024
Monterrey
-
UNAM
1:0
23.10.2024
Monterrey
-
UNAM
0:0
03.08.2024
Monterrey
-
UNAM
1:2
03.03.2024
Monterrey
-
UNAM
3:0
Latest results of Monterrey
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 2 | Monterrey | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Club America | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Toluca | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Pachuca | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 12 |
| 8 | UNAM Pumas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Juarez | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Mazatlan FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Atlas | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 14:21 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 | Guadalajara Chivas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 4 |
| 18 | Puebla | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:21 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
