União Barbarense vs Itapirense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
14/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A3 - Round 14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90+1', 1 - 0, Daniel Cruz ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


União Barbarense
57.7%
Draw
25.3%
Itapirense
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.6% 27.6% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 26.4% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • União Barbarense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in União Barbarense's performance.
  • Itapirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for União Barbarense than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itapirense than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • União Barbarense - Itapirense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.76)
    3.56
    (3.29)
    5.32
    (4.35)
    10.8%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
    • União Barbarense is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Itapirense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, União Barbarense is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that União Barbarense will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of União Barbarense
    Latest results of Itapirense
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1MariliaEC Sao Bernardo3 : 0, 0 : 2
    2XV de JauRio Claro2 : 0, 1 : 0
    3Portuguesa SantistaPaulista2 : 0, 1 : 2
    4Rio PretoUniao Barbarense0 : 0, 3 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1MariliaXV de Jau0 : 0
    2Portuguesa SantistaRio Preto1 : 0