Barcelona de Ilhéus vs União Carmolandense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Serie D - Round 11

Match Stats


Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
13	2
Shots on target
7	1
Corner Kicks
4	8
Total shots
13	2
Shots on target
7	1
Shots off target
6	1
Corner Kicks
4	8
Goalkeeper Saves
0	3

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Gianlucas ⚽,
63', 2 - 0, Gianlucas ⚽,
74', 3 - 0, Alex Sandre ⚽,
84', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 1, Juninho Carpina (Pen),

Chances of winning

Barcelona de Ilhéus
48.2%

Draw
29.1%

União Carmolandense
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

24.7%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

25.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona de Ilhéus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barcelona de Ilhéus's form might have worsened.

União Carmolandense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona de Ilhéus than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barcelona de Ilhéus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União Carmolandense than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Barcelona de Ilhéus - União Carmolandense Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.63)	3.13 ↓ (3.65)	4.02 ↓ (4.5)	9.7% (11%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Barcelona de Ilhéus - União Carmolandense?

Users Predictions: Barcelona de Ilhéus will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barcelona de Ilhéus will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 6)
Barcelona is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
União Carmolandense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
União Carmolandense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Barcelona will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barcelona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona de Ilhéus won against União Carmolandense?

Barcelona de Ilhéus has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has União Carmolandense won against Barcelona de Ilhéus?

União Carmolandense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona de Ilhéus - União Carmolandense were as follows:

10.05.2025 União Carmolandense - Barcelona de Ilhéus 3:0

Latest results of Barcelona de Ilhéus

29.06.2025 Jequié - Barcelona de Ilhéus 0:0 ✺

15.06.2025 Barcelona de Ilhéus - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense 1:0 ✺

08.06.2025 Sergipe - Barcelona de Ilhéus 4:1 ✺

01.06.2025 Barcelona de Ilhéus - Sergipe 0:1 ✺

24.05.2025 Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Barcelona de Ilhéus 4:0 ✺

Latest results of União Carmolandense

14.06.2025 União Carmolandense - Sergipe 2:0 ✺

07.06.2025 Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - União Carmolandense 2:2 ✺

31.05.2025 União Carmolandense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense 0:4 ✺

25.05.2025 Sergipe - União Carmolandense 0:0 ✺

18.05.2025 Juazeirense - União Carmolandense 1:0 ✺

Brazilian Serie D Table

2026

Group 1

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Nacional-AM	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
2	Sao Raimundo RR	2	1	1	0	2:0	2	4
3	Manauara	2	1	1	0	2:0	2	4
4	Manaus	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
5	GAS	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0
6	Monte Roraima	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0

Group 2

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Porto Velho	2	2	0	0	9:1	8	6
2	Araguaina	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
3	Guapore	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
4	Independencia	2	1	0	1	3:1	2	3
5	Galvez	2	0	0	2	1:6	-5	0
6	Humaita	2	0	0	2	1:8	-7	0

Group 3

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gama	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
2	Luverdense	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
3	Aparecidense	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
4	Brasiliense	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
5	Primavera AC	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
6	Inhumas	2	0	0	2	1:4	-3	0

Group 4

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Capital	2	2	0	0	2:0	2	6
2	Goiatuba	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
3	Mixto	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
4	Operario VG	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
5	Uniao Rondonopolis	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
6	Ceilandia	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1

Group 5

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Imperatriz	2	1	1	0	3:1	2	4
2	Trem	2	0	2	0	4:4	0	2
3	Aguia De Maraba	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2
4	Tuna Luso	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2
5	Tocantinopolis	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
6	Oratorio	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0

Group 6

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Maracana	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
2	Iguatu	2	1	1	0	2:0	2	4
3	IAPE	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
4	Sampaio Correa	2	0	2	0	0:0	0	2
5	Moto Club	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
6	Parnahyba	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1

Group 7

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Fluminense-PI	2	1	1	0	4:1	3	4
2	Ferroviario	2	1	1	0	4:3	1	4
3	Piaui	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
4	Atletico-CE	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
5	AE Altos	2	0	1	1	0:3	-3	1
6	Tirol	2	0	0	2	3:5	-2	0

Group 8

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	America RN	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
2	Maguary	2	1	0	1	3:1	2	3
3	ABC	2	1	0	1	4:3	1	3
4	Sousa	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
5	Central SC	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
6	Laguna RN	2	0	1	1	1:5	-4	1

Group 9

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lagarto	2	1	1	0	6:5	1	4
2	Sergipe	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
3	Treze PB	2	1	0	1	7:5	2	3
4	Serra Branca	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2
5	Decisao	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
6	Retro	2	0	1	1	2:5	-3	1

Group 10

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	CSA	2	2	0	0	6:1	5	6
2	Juazeirense	2	2	0	0	5:2	3	6
3	ASA	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
4	Jacuipense	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
5	CSE	2	0	0	2	2:5	-3	0
6	Alagoinhas	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0

Group 11

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ivinhema	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6
2	Betim	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
3	Uberlandia	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
4	Operario MS	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
5	CRAC	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1
6	Ouvidorense	2	0	0	2	0:2	-2	0

Group 12

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tombense	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
2	Democrata GV	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
3	Vitoria ES	2	1	0	1	3:2	1	3
4	Porto-BA	2	1	0	1	3:5	-2	3
5	Rio Branco ES	2	0	1	1	3:4	-1	1
6	Real Noroeste	2	0	0	2	1:4	-3	0

Group 13

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Portuguesa RJ	2	1	1	0	5:1	4	4
2	Portuguesa	2	1	1	0	4:1	3	4
3	Agua Santa	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
4	Madureira	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
5	Pouso Alegre	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
6	America RJ	2	0	0	2	0:8	-8	0

Group 14

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Marica	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6
2	Piracicaba	2	1	1	0	6:3	3	4
3	Velo Clube	2	1	0	1	3:2	1	3
4	Sampaio Correa FE	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
5	Noroeste	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
6	Nova Iguacu	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0

Group 15

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Joinville	2	1	1	0	2:0	2	4
2	Cascavel	2	1	1	0	1:0	1	4
3	Cianorte	2	1	0	1	3:2	1	3
4	Santa Catarina	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
5	Guarany de Bage	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
6	Sao Luiz	2	0	1	1	0:2	-2	1

Group 16

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Blumenau	2	2	0	0	6:2	4	6
2	Sao Joseense	2	1	1	0	1:0	1	4
3	Brasil de Pelotas	2	1	0	1	4:4	0	3
4	Marcilio Dias	2	0	2	0	0:0	0	2
5	Azuriz	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
6	EC Sao Jose	2	0	0	2	0:4	-4	0

Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32~finals)