Result
4:1
06/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 0, Gianlucas ⚽,
- 63', 2 - 0, Gianlucas ⚽,
- 74', 3 - 0, Alex Sandre ⚽,
- 84', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+3', 4 - 1, Juninho Carpina (Pen),
Chances of winning
Barcelona de Ilhéus
48.2% | Draw
29.1% | União Carmolandense
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barcelona de Ilhéus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barcelona de Ilhéus's form might have worsened.União Carmolandense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona de Ilhéus than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barcelona de Ilhéus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for União Carmolandense than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Barcelona de Ilhéus - União Carmolandense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.63) |
3.13 ↓
(3.65) |
4.02 ↓
(4.5) |
9.7%
(11%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Barcelona de Ilhéus - União Carmolandense?
Users Predictions:
Barcelona de Ilhéus will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Barcelona de Ilhéus will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 6)
- Barcelona is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- União Carmolandense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- União Carmolandense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Barcelona will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barcelona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona de Ilhéus won against União Carmolandense?
Barcelona de Ilhéus has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has União Carmolandense won against Barcelona de Ilhéus?
União Carmolandense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona de Ilhéus - União Carmolandense were as follows:
10.05.2025
União Carmolandense
-
Barcelona de Ilhéus
3:0
Latest results of Barcelona de Ilhéus
Latest results of União Carmolandense
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lagarto | Central SC | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Tuna Luso | Maranhao | 2 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 3 | ASA | Ferroviario | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Manauara | Sampaio Correa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 5 | AE Altos | Independencia | 3 : 1, 5 : 1 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz | Sergipe | 3 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 7 | America RN | Juazeirense | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Imperatriz | Manaus | 1 : 2, 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Portuguesa | Mixto | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Cianorte | Joinville | 4 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 11 | Barra FC | Cascavel | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Ceilandia | Agua Santa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 13 | Aparecidense | Marica | 2 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 14 | EC Sao Jose | Goiatuba | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 15 | Inter de Limeira | Marcilio Dias | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 16 | Rio Branco ES | Luverdense | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Central SC | Maranhao | 0 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | ASA | Manauara | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | AE Altos | Santa Cruz | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | America RN | Imperatriz | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Mixto | Cianorte | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Barra FC | Ceilandia | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 7 | Aparecidense | Goiatuba | 0 : 2, 3 : 2 |
| 8 | Inter de Limeira | Rio Branco ES | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Maranhao | ASA | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz | America RN | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Cianorte | Barra FC | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Goiatuba | Inter de Limeira | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Maranhao | Santa Cruz | |
| 2 | Barra FC | Inter de Limeira | 2 : 0 |
Final
