Penedense vs União Carmolandense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Penedense - União Carmolandense
Result
1:1
20/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 13

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
77
Corner Kicks
67
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
79
Corner Kicks
67
Goalkeeper Saves
66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+3', 1 - 0, Romario Valenca (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 64', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Penedense
39.8%
Draw
29.9%
União Carmolandense
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 28.1% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 29.4% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Penedense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • União Carmolandense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penedense than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for União Carmolandense than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Penedense - União Carmolandense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.14)
    3.02
    (3.2)
    3.01
    (3)
    9.2%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Penedense - União Carmolandense?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - União Carmolandense (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 6)
    • Penedense is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • União Carmolandense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Penedense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Penedense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Penedense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Penedense - União Carmolandense were as follows:
    26.04.2025 União Carmolandense - Penedense 1:1
    Latest results of Penedense
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    10CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    11Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    12CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    13AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    14EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    15Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    7AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    8Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA3 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Santa CruzAmerica RN1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CianorteBarra FC0 : 1, 0 : 0
    4GoiatubaInter de Limeira0 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1MaranhaoSanta Cruz0 : 0, 0 : 1
    2Barra FCInter de Limeira3 : 2, 2 : 0

    Final
    1Santa CruzBarra FC0 : 0, 1 : 2