Vasco da Gama vs União Corinthians – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
78:85
16/12/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBB
  • Referee: de Moraes G. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 2

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6362
Field Goals Made
2832
Field Goals %
44.44%51.61%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
2931
2-Point Field Goals Made
1518
2-Point Field Goals %
51.72%58.06%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3431
3-Point Field Goals Made
1314
3-Point Field Goals %
38.24%45.16%
Free Throws Attempted
1514
Free Throws Made
99
Free Throws %
60%64.3%
Offensive Rebounds
67
Defensive Rebounds
2432
Total Rebounds
3039
Assists
2022
Blocks
23
Turnovers
810
Steals
73
Personal Fouls
1615

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vasco da Gama
33.3%
União Corinthians
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 63.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • União Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for União Corinthians than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Vasco da Gama - União Corinthians Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.81
    (2.56)

    1.39
    (1.47)
    7.5%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 151.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
    What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - União Corinthians?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +4.5, OT - União Corinthians (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Vasco da Gama will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vasco da Gama will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Vasco (votes: 7 - 87.5%). União Corinthians (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 74:79.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent form of Vasco has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • União Corinthians has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • União Corinthians will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 313:307. (average 78.3:76.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 168:158. (average 84:79).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - União Corinthians were as follows:
    06.02.2025 União Corinthians - Vasco da Gama 84:71
    09.11.2024 Vasco da Gama - União Corinthians 79:81
    22.01.2024 Vasco da Gama - União Corinthians 89:77
    30.10.2023 União Corinthians - Vasco da Gama 65:74
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    13.12.2025 Pinheiros - Vasco da Gama 84:70
    11.12.2025 Paulistano - Vasco da Gama 65:69
    25.11.2025 Vasco da Gama - Rio Claro 81:84
    17.11.2025 Franca - Vasco da Gama 103:61
    Latest results of União Corinthians
    13.12.2025 Botafogo - União Corinthians 61:84
    05.12.2025 União Corinthians - Minas 71:74
    03.12.2025 União Corinthians - Cruzeiro 87:76
    23.11.2025 Osasco - União Corinthians 79:76
    21.11.2025 Mogi - União Corinthians 101:71
    Brazilian NBB Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPCT
    1Pinheiros272252321:20100.815
    2Franca292362587:21860.793
    3Flamengo282262434:21750.786
    4Minas282172435:23030.750
    5Corinthians Paulista282082347:21840.714
    6Brasilia282082303:20350.714
    7Paulistano2817112269:21540.607
    8Sao Jose2917122385:23160.586
    9Bauru2917122309:22680.586
    10Mogi2815132124:19540.536
    11Uniao Corinthians2714132137:21990.519
    12Unifacisa2714132163:21380.519
    13Caxias do Sul2712151959:20740.444
    14Cruzeiro279182139:23000.333
    15Rio Claro278192090:23600.296
    16Pato287212053:22240.250
    17Cearense276212080:23450.222
    18Botafogo275221946:22440.185
    19Osasco274232019:23530.148
    20Vasco284241950:22280.143

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