Result
1:0
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 15
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mortágua
39.4% | Draw
30.7% | União da Serra
29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mortágua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)União da Serra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mortágua than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for União da Serra than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Mortágua - União da Serra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.11) |
2.95 ↓
(3.15) |
3.04 ↓
(3.1) |
10.3%
(11.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 5)
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Mortágua will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mortágua won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Mortágua won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Mortágua won against União da Serra?
Mortágua has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has União da Serra won against Mortágua?
União da Serra has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mortágua - União da Serra were as follows:
17.08.2025
União da Serra
-
Mortágua
0:0
05.02.2023
Mortágua
-
União da Serra
3:3
23.10.2022
União da Serra
-
Mortágua
1:0
Latest results of Mortágua
Latest results of União da Serra
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 28:7 | 21 | 43 |
| 2 | SB Castelo Branco | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 35:17 | 18 | 35 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 32 |
| 4 | Mortagua | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 32 |
| 5 | Oliveira Hospital | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 22:10 | 12 | 30 |
| 6 | Uniao Da Serra | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 27:19 | 8 | 28 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 24:21 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 | Fatima | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
| 9 | Peniche | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Lajense | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 21 |
| 11 | Marinhense | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 18 |
| 12 | Samora Correia | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12:25 | -13 | 14 |
| 13 | Electrico | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 21:44 | -23 | 13 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
