União São João vs EC São Bernardo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
21/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A3 - Round 15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 23', 0 - 1, Michael Douglas ,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Rafael Costa (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 74', 2 - 1, Alex Oliveira ,
  • 89', 2 - 2, Udson ,

Chances of winning


União São João
36.6%
Draw
31.5%
EC São Bernardo
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 29.8% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4% 29% 32.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • União São João has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • EC São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for União São João than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • União São João - EC São Bernardo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.51)
    2.86
    (3.07)
    2.82
    (2.71)
    11.1%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
    • União São João is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • EC São Bernardo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, União São João won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, União São João won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between União São João - EC São Bernardo were as follows:
    19.02.2025 EC São Bernardo - União São João 1:1
    31.01.2024 União São João - EC São Bernardo 2:3
    Latest results of União São João
    Latest results of EC São Bernardo
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3 Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portuguesa Santista15120326:91736
    2Marilia1595123:61732
    3Rio Preto1585224:131129
    4XV de Jau1583416:11527
    5Rio Claro1574419:16325
    6Uniao Barbarense1566316:14224
    7EC Sao Bernardo1565422:15723
    8Paulista1565420:13723
    9Uniao Sao Joao1564516:15122
    10Catanduva1556416:15121
    11Bandeirante1546515:19-418
    12Rio Branco SP1544713:24-1116
    13Francana15311113:22-910
    14Itapirense15231014:26-129
    15Desportivo151598:25-178
    16Uniao Suzano15121210:28-185

          Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Paulista A4