Unicaja Malaga vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Spanish ACB League Unicaja Malaga - Real Madrid
Result
79:86
17/06/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ACB - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 1
ukraineUkraineSport 1, Sport 3

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
7167
Field Goals Made
3029
Field Goals %
42.3%43.3%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4038
2-Point Field Goals Made
1921
2-Point Field Goals %
47.5%55.3%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3129
3-Point Field Goals Made
118
3-Point Field Goals %
35.5%27.6%
Free Throws Attempted
1122
Free Throws Made
920
Free Throws %
81.8%90.9%
Offensive Rebounds
1014
Defensive Rebounds
2131
Total Rebounds
3145
Assists
1410
Blocks
23
Turnovers
612
Steals
55
Personal Fouls
2316

Chances of winning


Unicaja Malaga
50%
Real Madrid
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 47.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unicaja Malaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unicaja Malaga than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Unicaja Malaga - Real Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.83)

    1.91
    (1.98)
    5%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 171.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
  • What is the prediction for Unicaja Malaga - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (22 of 27 users predict this - 81.48%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.83%96.13%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 85:87.
  • Preview Facts
    • Real Madrid leads series 2-1. 4th leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unicaja won 2.
    • Recent performances by Unicaja have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Real Madrid is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Unicaja won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1723:1754. (average 86.2:87.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Unicaja won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 960:948. (average 87.3:86.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unicaja Malaga - Real Madrid were as follows:
    15.06.2025 Unicaja Malaga - Real Madrid 86:84
    13.06.2025 Real Madrid - Unicaja Malaga 90:75
    11.06.2025 Real Madrid - Unicaja Malaga 99:81
    23.03.2025 Unicaja Malaga - Real Madrid 105:107
    16.02.2025 Unicaja Malaga - Real Madrid 93:79
    Latest results of Unicaja Malaga
    15.06.2025 Unicaja Malaga - Real Madrid 86:84
    13.06.2025 Real Madrid - Unicaja Malaga 90:75
    11.06.2025 Real Madrid - Unicaja Malaga 99:81
    08.06.2025 Unicaja Malaga - Barcelona 97:95
    06.06.2025 Barcelona - Unicaja Malaga 59:81
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    15.06.2025 Unicaja Malaga - Real Madrid 86:84
    13.06.2025 Real Madrid - Unicaja Malaga 90:75
    11.06.2025 Real Madrid - Unicaja Malaga 99:81
    06.06.2025 Baskonia - Real Madrid 103:112
    03.06.2025 Real Madrid - Baskonia 82:76
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Real Madrid (1)Baskonia (8)2 : 0
    2Unicaja (4)Barcelona (5)2 : 1
    3Valencia (2)Gran Canaria (7)2 : 0
    4Tenerife (3)Joventut Badalona (6)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Real Madrid (1)Unicaja (4)3 : 1
    2Valencia (2)Tenerife (3)3 : 0

    Final
    1Real Madrid (1)Valencia (2)3 : 0