Paulistano vs Brasília Basquete – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
83:81 OT
19/01/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBB
  • Referee: Donizete Pinheiro R. (Bra)

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6871
Field goals made
2929
Field goals %
42.65%40.85%
2-point field goals attempts
3934
2-point field goals made
2217
2-point field goals %
56.41%50%
3-point field goals attempts
2937
3-point field goals made
712
3-point field goals %
24.14%32.43%
Free throws attempts
2714
Free throws made
1811
Free throws %
66.7%78.6%
Offensive rebounds
138
Defensive rebounds
3530
Total rebounds
4838
Assists
1318
Blocks
10
Turnovers
1513
Steals
94
Personal fouls
1719

Chances of winning


Paulistano
42.1%
Brasília Basquete
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3% 52.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paulistano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Brasília Basquete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paulistano than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paulistano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasília Basquete than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brasília Basquete, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Paulistano - Brasília Basquete Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.07)

    1.6
    (1.66)
    7.6%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 156.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Paulistano - Brasília Basquete?
  • Users Predictions: Paulistano will win (21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.78%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paulistano will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 77:80.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paulistano won 4.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Brasília Basquete may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Brasília Basquete has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paulistano won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1671:1496. (average 83.6:74.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paulistano won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 864:751. (average 86.4:75.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paulistano - Brasília Basquete were as follows:
    30.10.2025 Brasília Basquete - Paulistano 71:54
    17.04.2025 Paulistano - Brasília Basquete 81:69
    18.12.2024 Brasília Basquete - Paulistano 87:102
    31.03.2024 Paulistano - Brasília Basquete 95:50
    16.12.2023 Brasília Basquete - Paulistano 69:91
    Latest results of Paulistano
    15.01.2026 Bauru - Paulistano 87:89
    13.01.2026 Paulistano - Rio Claro Abandoned
    27.12.2025 Paulistano - Mogi 81:66
    Latest results of Brasília Basquete
    Brazilian NBB Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPCT
    1Pinheiros272252321:20100.815
    2Franca292362587:21860.793
    3Flamengo282262434:21750.786
    4Minas282172435:23030.750
    5Corinthians Paulista282082347:21840.714
    6Brasilia282082303:20350.714
    7Paulistano2817112269:21540.607
    8Sao Jose2917122385:23160.586
    9Bauru2917122309:22680.586
    10Mogi2815132124:19540.536
    11Uniao Corinthians2714132137:21990.519
    12Unifacisa2714132163:21380.519
    13Caxias do Sul2712151959:20740.444
    14Cruzeiro279182139:23000.333
    15Rio Claro278192090:23600.296
    16Pato287212053:22240.250
    17Cearense276212080:23450.222
    18Botafogo275221946:22440.185
    19Osasco274232019:23530.148
    20Vasco284241950:22280.143

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