São Paulo vs Brasília Basquete – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
78:77 OT
03/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBB - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Leite F. (Bra)

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
7270
Field Goals Made
2624
Field Goals %
36.1%34.3%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3827
2-Point Field Goals Made
1912
2-Point Field Goals %
50%44.4%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3443
3-Point Field Goals Made
712
3-Point Field Goals %
20.6%27.9%
Free Throws Attempted
2721
Free Throws Made
1917
Free Throws %
70.4%81%
Offensive Rebounds
179
Defensive Rebounds
3730
Total Rebounds
5439
Assists
1716
Blocks
13
Turnovers
1311
Steals
49
Personal Fouls
1924

Chances of winning


São Paulo
57%
Brasília Basquete
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6% 40.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Brasília Basquete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasília Basquete than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • São Paulo - Brasília Basquete Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.65)

    2.15
    (2.15)
    7.6%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 155.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
    What is the prediction for São Paulo - Brasília Basquete?
  • Users Predictions: São Paulo will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): São Paulo will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 80:77.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sao Paulo leads series 2-1. 4th leg./
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 4.
    • São Paulo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Brasília Basquete's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • We predict that São Paulo will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1286:1092. (average 85.7:72.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 593:478. (average 84.7:68.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Brasília Basquete were as follows:
    30.04.2025 Brasília Basquete - São Paulo 86:81
    28.04.2025 Brasília Basquete - São Paulo 54:69
    24.04.2025 São Paulo - Brasília Basquete 66:62
    19.04.2025 São Paulo - Brasília Basquete 88:79
    21.12.2024 Brasília Basquete - São Paulo 83:85
    Latest results of São Paulo
    Latest results of Brasília Basquete
    Brazilian NBB Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPCT
    1Pinheiros272252321:20100.815
    2Franca292362587:21860.793
    3Flamengo282262434:21750.786
    4Minas282172435:23030.750
    5Corinthians Paulista282082347:21840.714
    6Brasilia282082303:20350.714
    7Paulistano2817112269:21540.607
    8Sao Jose2917122385:23160.586
    9Bauru2917122309:22680.586
    10Mogi2815132124:19540.536
    11Uniao Corinthians2714132137:21990.519
    12Unifacisa2714132163:21380.519
    13Caxias do Sul2712151959:20740.444
    14Cruzeiro279182139:23000.333
    15Rio Claro278192090:23600.296
    16Pato287212053:22240.250
    17Cearense276212080:23450.222
    18Botafogo275221946:22440.185
    19Osasco274232019:23530.148
    20Vasco284241950:22280.143

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